South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Barracas Central vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35c9fd18bc5fdb3c0c02de3d37a58e277b87a5f59ae789968fc9afa10c8bb718
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,689
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,552
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,689 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6cf6…7ec7backed No | 66c | 1,526$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…cd8cbacked Yes | 34c | 1,525$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +125.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 65c | 654.87$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.97 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 35c | 414.29$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 82 | 28%23 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed Yes | 34c | 102$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 32c | 93.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 65c | 93.45$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.38 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Yes | 34c | 84$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…e81dbacked Yes | 34c | 79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 73c | 79$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 26c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Yes | 34c | 53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Yes | 34c | 49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Yes | 34c | 41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Yes | 39c | 33.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -5.9wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 66c | 30.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…bd06backed No | 66c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d10…e17cbacked No | 66c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…d4dfbacked No | 66c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67de…1d9bbacked No | 66c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d19…0b39backed No | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7c…1214backed No | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 53cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5956…e127backed No | 66c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 65c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…a3d3backed No | 66c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6e…148bbacked No | 66c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed No | 63c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed No | 66c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…95a8backed No | 66c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 66cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf2…6640backed No | 66c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…938dbacked No | 66c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Barracas Central vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-02-09?Yes won
- Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-02-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.