Other European Leagues · resolved market
Sparta Rotterdam vs. FC Groningen: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba6c55f4757f65cd7372483dfb08cc8fa921595c464b92b47751f1fabf97c58a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,241
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,211
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,241 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 1,785$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.11 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 11c | 1,009$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.23 | 113 | 26.5%30 W · 83 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 39c | 909.25$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.61 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 61c | 758.95$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.96 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2358…8986backed Yes | 60c | 560.62$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 40c | 398.15$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.95 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed No | 40c | 299.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.99 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Yes | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed No | 39c | 230$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.3 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 46c | 216.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48d7…1bd1backed Yes | 41c | 156.1$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +6.2wins | +0.21per pick | 34cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed No | 41c | 126$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.34 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…315bbacked Yes | 60c | 101.23$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.74 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Yes | 59c | 76.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 41c | 54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Yes | 61c | 42.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 101 | 35.6%36 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…568abacked Yes | 61c | 39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9840…cb31backed Yes | 59c | 38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Yes | 59c | 35.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 215 | 40.5%87 W · 128 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Yes | 61c | 28.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed Yes | 59c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 53c | 21.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1974…bc18backed No | 58c | 19.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…6613backed Yes | 59c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…9f8dbacked Yes | 59c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sparta Rotterdam vs. FC Groningen: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Sparta Rotterdam vs. FC Groningen: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sparta Rotterdam vs. FC Groningen: O/U 2.5Under won
- Sparta Rotterdam vs. FC Groningen: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sparta Rotterdam vs. FC Groningen: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.