Other European Leagues · resolved market
Sparta Rotterdam vs. FC Groningen: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9eb31191cd703713f54f7df6b0e9537c330d061a3b3d80e3a6190d9115511ca6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,038
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,363
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,038 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 46c | 7,000$3,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,779.99 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…6a15backed Over | 54c | 3,100$1,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,673.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 74c | 2,862$2,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.55 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 66c | 1,811$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.93 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 28c | 1,786$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.08 | 183 | 35%64 W · 119 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 26c | 1,494$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.75 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 24c | 1,247$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.28 | 113 | 26.5%30 W · 83 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Over | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…a795backed Over | 55c | 904.05$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.44per pick | 61cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Over | 54c | 668$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.72 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 54c | 463.89$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.47 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 54c | 408.4$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.54 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 57c | 402$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.09 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 29c | 347.29$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.32 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 65c | 329.36$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.66 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb856…a9bcbacked Under | 77c | 143.72$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.13 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…fcbcbacked Over | 18c | 80.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 44c | 75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 215 | 40.5%87 W · 128 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 15c | 71.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 44c | 56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 53c | 50.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 47c | 48.16$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Under | 46c | 48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 30c | 36.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 44c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6325…cfaabacked Under | 58c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6468…e03dbacked Over | 54c | 33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 58c | 29.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x646c…3210backed Under | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sparta Rotterdam vs. FC Groningen: O/U 2.5this page
- Sparta Rotterdam vs. FC Groningen: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sparta Rotterdam vs. FC Groningen: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sparta Rotterdam vs. FC Groningen: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sparta Rotterdam vs. FC Groningen: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.