Other European Leagues · resolved market
Sparta Rotterdam vs. FC Groningen: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fa0f6d516022b5c2efbc162468ace11a83390be29f5b491ea55e71bb0c6b687
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,215
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,972
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,215 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 2,325$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.33 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 38c | 1,302$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.28 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 54c | 1,004$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.26 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 64c | 621.24$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.24 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 70c | 502$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.4 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…ec6fbacked Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…9bb8backed Over | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 55c | 245.55$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.55 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 53c | 185.38$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.73 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 53c | 176.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.69 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -6.3wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 54c | 170.46$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.46 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 30c | 159.46$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.62 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 41c | 129.27$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.27 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Over | 50c | 109$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.5 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.1wins | +0.30per pick | 49cpaid | +75%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 36c | 84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.12 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Under | 22c | 83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 69c | 80$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 230 | 61.3%141 W · 89 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Under | 50c | 78.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 47c | 65.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x678e…63febacked Over | 73c | 61.89$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 53c | 57.98$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 59c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Over | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…d0f5backed Under | 74c | 47.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 51c | 43.24$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 36c | 39.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 53c | 37.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…bb17backed Over | 78c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 55c | 27.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a6…7ed2backed Over | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 79c | 23.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6325…cfaabacked Over | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 60c | 16.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +11.1wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…0d65backed Over | 68c | 16.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6e…148bbacked Over | 78c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 67cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d10…e17cbacked Over | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sparta Rotterdam vs. FC Groningen: O/U 1.5this page
- Sparta Rotterdam vs. FC Groningen: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sparta Rotterdam vs. FC Groningen: O/U 2.5Under won
- Sparta Rotterdam vs. FC Groningen: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sparta Rotterdam vs. FC Groningen: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.