South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Aldosivi vs. CA Rosario Central: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf03ea59b393b2d7dda79a64091cd9a72784d46c86787e8e9a2861042d613d07e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $879
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,081
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $879 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Yes | 37c | 142$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.46 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Yes | 37c | 140$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…189dbacked No | 64c | 101.56$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 66.26$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 62c | 48.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed No | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed No | 63c | 37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…de52backed No | 63c | 32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ad…2c48backed No | 63c | 26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…7384backed No | 63c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…2cb0backed No | 63c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 56cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 62c | 21.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce96…ff5cbacked No | 63c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…be79backed No | 63c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a1…be8bbacked No | 63c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x663b…e26cbacked No | 63c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Aldosivi vs. CA Rosario Central: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CA Aldosivi vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 1.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.