TailMyPicks
Market

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. North Carolina State Wolfpack

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
North Carolina State Wolfpackof Wake Forest Demon Deacons, North Carolina State Wolfpack
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,462
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,875

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,462 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked North Carolina State Wolfpack74c6,656$4,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,741.765,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons27c5,133$1,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,371.571,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde6d…0926backed North Carolina State Wolfpack77c4,510$3,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.693834.2%13 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons20c3,558$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.032,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons25c2,360$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.721,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons9c1,544$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.661,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack73c1,459$1,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.7323158.9%136 W · 95 L+23.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons20c1,036$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.655,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons22c740.02$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1667727.3%21 W · 56 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x24db…1332backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons15c677.93$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.6913219.7%26 W · 106 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack80c600$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1222,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons23c551.36$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.723,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…5ab9backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons20c536$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.27245.8%33 W · 39 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7551…b6b1backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons5c424$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.442,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea81…eeaebacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons19c422.75$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.321,22727.8%341 W · 886 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc916…2ee5backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons16c370$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.192227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-42%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons25c282.67$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.62,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1488…0672backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons20c238$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.335253.8%28 W · 24 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons21c220$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.221449.5%106 W · 108 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a23…97a7backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons17c206$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0221535.3%76 W · 139 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc840…0650backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons25c187.3$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.65540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-45.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons24c179$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.511,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons19c147.43$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7143053.3%229 W · 201 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons18c142.96$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.731,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons25c127.31$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6338343.6%167 W · 216 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons17c125$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.251,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack77c125$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2632343%139 W · 184 L-18.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4dc…d394backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons20c120$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247353.4%39 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons19c118.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.83,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons19c115.06$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8699045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons21c114$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.362,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc938…af43backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons19c94$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.866544.6%29 W · 36 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons24c92.6$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9773549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x309d…3a8abacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons18c89$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.026753.7%36 W · 31 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb100…dce6backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons20c85$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x699c…3600backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons18c82$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.766750.7%34 W · 33 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32d6…844bbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons21c82$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.227060%42 W · 28 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc427…ee41backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons19c78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.824348.8%21 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b05…25dfbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons20c75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155540%22 W · 33 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e75…e81dbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack78c72$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.843655.6%20 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203964.1%25 W · 14 L+4.9wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+25.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons27c67.09$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1448051%245 W · 235 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a9…d58bbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons23c63.28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.421342.3%90 W · 123 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons20c62$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.463551.5%327 W · 308 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa4…b6a4backed North Carolina State Wolfpack79c55$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.443360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons26c50.24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.151,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked North Carolina State Wolfpack80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1020254.5%110 W · 92 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b80…8e56backed North Carolina State Wolfpack80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104047.5%19 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b5f…b793backed North Carolina State Wolfpack80c48$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.62751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8013…5b52backed North Carolina State Wolfpack74c48$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4815453.9%83 W · 71 L+16.8wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+19.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7f33…8f17backed North Carolina State Wolfpack79c45$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.324355.8%24 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd43a…f530backed North Carolina State Wolfpack80c44$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.83056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb59a…e730backed North Carolina State Wolfpack80c42$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.43560%21 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe105…8a2dbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack80c42$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.42948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6906…67ecbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons29c41.62$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa60c…b395backed North Carolina State Wolfpack79c41$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.613161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f6c…ac71backed North Carolina State Wolfpack80c37$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.43855.3%21 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14cd…1716backed North Carolina State Wolfpack80c37$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.43868.4%26 W · 12 L+5.9wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x859a…1ccebacked North Carolina State Wolfpack80c36$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.22445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed North Carolina State Wolfpack80c34.76$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.953164.5%20 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7483…96a6backed North Carolina State Wolfpack80c33$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.64456.8%25 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09db…7384backed North Carolina State Wolfpack80c32$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.43342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x84f8…667fbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack80c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc518…bdecbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack79c29$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.092560%15 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1bd…0da6backed North Carolina State Wolfpack80c29$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.83470.6%24 W · 10 L+5.5wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+31%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x56d2…e5f5backed North Carolina State Wolfpack80c27$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.43060%18 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c4e…9b6fbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53762.2%23 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x26fc…2286backed North Carolina State Wolfpack80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53956.4%22 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe11a…d47ebacked North Carolina State Wolfpack80c24$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.83964.1%25 W · 14 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+17.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f96…92e0backed North Carolina State Wolfpack80c23$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.63461.8%21 W · 13 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+23.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa4d0…9b74backed North Carolina State Wolfpack80c23$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.63644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d89…87b0backed North Carolina State Wolfpack80c21$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.21758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04a1…6b2dbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack80c18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.62060%12 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1315…d32ebacked North Carolina State Wolfpack80c16$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.21435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.21per pick57cpaid-43.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa2b5…694ebacked North Carolina State Wolfpack80c14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.83557.1%20 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x521c…64d2backed North Carolina State Wolfpack80c14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.82755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30ee…5d12backed North Carolina State Wolfpack80c13$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.62356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd26c…fc57backed North Carolina State Wolfpack80c13$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.62965.5%19 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.