Premier League · resolved market
Birmingham City FC vs. Derby County FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6ecafcd827070cd8af796013b4451ef266409a9ce3b90cb140a3682169cfeb4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,828
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Yes | 48c | 430$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.6 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Yes | 48c | 152$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.04 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f41…5cb3backed Yes | 48c | 138$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.76 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2587…a117backed No | 52c | 125$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Yes | 48c | 110$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.59 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Yes | 48c | 102$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.04 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed No | 52c | 90$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6132…7665backed Yes | 48c | 89$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.28 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…0aa5backed No | 52c | 86$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.72 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked No | 52c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Yes | 48c | 77$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Yes | 48c | 74$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.48 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Yes | 48c | 72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed No | 52c | 71$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed Yes | 48c | 51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed No | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…7fd0backed No | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed No | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed No | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7c…1214backed No | 52c | 48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50ad…2c48backed No | 52c | 46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Yes | 48c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…9fcabacked No | 52c | 44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed Yes | 48c | 43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa9…7097backed No | 52c | 41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc17…53b6backed No | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6d…d6bdbacked No | 52c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…5d12backed No | 52c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3e…390fbacked No | 52c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…c992backed No | 52c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…b2c0backed No | 52c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…2cb0backed Yes | 48c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4f…73a6backed No | 52c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdb…ae41backed No | 52c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Yes | 48c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…1f57backed No | 52c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5f…99d3backed No | 52c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a9…f72ebacked Yes | 48c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7399…fe96backed No | 52c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43a…f530backed No | 52c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd512…91eebacked No | 52c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60dc…9a3ebacked No | 53c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ee…f2d4backed No | 52c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7773…f936backed No | 52c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b3…27babacked No | 52c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…f8afbacked No | 52c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf340…6224backed Yes | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb75…bc16backed No | 52c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…d6cbbacked No | 52c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…9f7cbacked No | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7219…fcf7backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Birmingham City FC vs. Derby County FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Birmingham City FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Birmingham City FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Birmingham City FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Birmingham City FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Birmingham City FC (-1.5)Derby County FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.