Other European Leagues · resolved market
Falkirk FC vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92709b0d9f218990c3b28afe6a4a4d20f1fb359c0f6f9944c9b0fe137ad99439
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,317
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,345
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,317 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Yes | 53c | 230$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.9 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Yes | 54c | 138.31$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 138.07$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Yes | 45c | 136.72$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.63 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Yes | 53c | 125.66$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked No | 46c | 95.94$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.81 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 43c | 78.14$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.54 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…042fbacked No | 47c | 69$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.57 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Yes | 53c | 65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Yes | 53c | 64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…9bdbbacked No | 47c | 62$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.86 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Yes | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked Yes | 57c | 57.09$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.54 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Yes | 54c | 57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f96…92e0backed No | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 40cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Yes | 54c | 46.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Yes | 53c | 46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked No | 47c | 46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked Yes | 52c | 44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…9f5abacked No | 46c | 38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x279b…7d84backed No | 47c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 45c | 31.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Yes | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa554…e53dbacked No | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…7ca5backed No | 47c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…d7cebacked No | 46c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 46c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x879d…8c58backed No | 47c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…bd74backed No | 48c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…47edbacked No | 47c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed No | 47c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4f…73a6backed No | 47c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73a3…dac6backed No | 47c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 61cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…e7b6backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Falkirk FC vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Falkirk FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Falkirk FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Falkirk FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Falkirk FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.