Other European Leagues · resolved market
Falkirk FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeeab26ffa2e5b7c578687e9fcaff80e68d9050d892191469b678b486bee34777
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,539
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,536
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,539 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 337.15$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.42 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Over | 58c | 115$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.7 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Over | 48c | 104$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcb…1879backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Over | 58c | 93$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.94 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -40%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Over | 58c | 92$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.36 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Over | 57c | 90$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Over | 58c | 86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Over | 57c | 80$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…bc38backed Over | 61c | 70.33$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Under | 40c | 66.72$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.03 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed Over | 58c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Over | 58c | 52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Over | 58c | 48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62e6…f251backed Under | 42c | 45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Over | 59c | 41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Over | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Over | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…c992backed Under | 42c | 37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.64 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…88cfbacked Under | 42c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Over | 59c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 59c | 33.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae69…0c24backed Under | 42c | 31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b80…8e56backed Under | 41c | 31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.3wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…bcb1backed Under | 43c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…61d9backed Under | 42c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73a3…dac6backed Under | 42c | 27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6162…e856backed Under | 42c | 27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 59cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3e…390fbacked Under | 42c | 27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 55cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x07a4…be3abacked Under | 42c | 27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x597f…e9cfbacked Under | 42c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…81b6backed Under | 42c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 60c | 16.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Falkirk FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Falkirk FC vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Falkirk FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Falkirk FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Falkirk FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.