Other European Leagues · resolved market
Falkirk FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xedbd9c38c1100110a33b4697c161a5d5b5cbe6840bae94acfc44d2c093d297c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,588
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,591
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,588 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x75dd…171dbacked Under | 75c | 4,040$3,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 77cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 25c | 3,894$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.4 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Under | 77c | 300.08$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.52 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 23c | 296.36$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.64 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Under | 62c | 255$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.85 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Under | 63c | 115$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.55 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Under | 64c | 111$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.96 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Under | 63c | 102$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Under | 62c | 97$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.86 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Under | 64c | 72$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Under | 63c | 67.57$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Over | 37c | 66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed Under | 64c | 62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Under | 64c | 61$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.96 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…e342backed Over | 37c | 54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…bc38backed Over | 36c | 49.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38dc…4c5fbacked Over | 38c | 49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Under | 63c | 47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa9…7097backed Over | 38c | 41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Under | 63c | 39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +50%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…60e5backed Over | 38c | 38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc39b…5754backed Over | 38c | 34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…7384backed Over | 37c | 33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36c9…3f9fbacked Over | 37c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…d7cebacked Over | 37c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…88cfbacked Over | 37c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Under | 64c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e27…9967backed Under | 64c | 15.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Falkirk FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Falkirk FC vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Falkirk FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Falkirk FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Falkirk FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.