South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Platense vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32dd9c20c74c15ea2a6d82185b385e7d5a54d6031b1d6a102d0f65d77fa4d695
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,914
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,250
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,914 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 351.11$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.13 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 48c | 195.32$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.75 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Under | 47c | 135$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.45 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 52c | 120$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 250 | 21.6%54 W · 196 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 42c | 118.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.63 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48b7…5ba0backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Under | 49c | 95$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.55 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 37c | 69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Over | 51c | 58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81dc…45a1backed Over | 52c | 42.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +124.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Under | 46c | 39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…fcbcbacked Over | 54c | 27.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…bbe8backed Over | 54c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 25.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed Over | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5956…e127backed Over | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…7d27backed Under | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe139…84b4backed Over | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4f…73a6backed Over | 53c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +136.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…8b4bbacked Over | 51c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d4…c5cdbacked Over | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Platense vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Platense vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Platense vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: O/U 2.5Over won
- CA Platense vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.