Premier League · resolved market
Coventry City FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc460da40d1d50d58ee9d2d80b3596bb61f36b8dab45476aa1ddb00a69406dc84
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,324
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,464
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,324 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Under | 3c | 1,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 35c | 623.25$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.34 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 79c | 570$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.85 | 171 | 61.4%105 W · 66 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 42c | 557.47$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.19 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 554.33$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.86 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…22cfbacked Over | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 20c | 463.16$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.18 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 68c | 406.25$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +10.8wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Under | 6c | 300$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 265 | 48.3%128 W · 137 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 39c | 191.56$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.56 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22b9…6ae2backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 47c | 171.9$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.65 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Over | 58c | 171$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.82 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1f…b254backed Under | 21c | 129$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Over | 57c | 103$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.29 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed Over | 57c | 96$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Over | 59c | 88$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 41c | 74.46$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.53 | 215 | 48.8%105 W · 110 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Over | 59c | 71.19$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.19 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ea…52dbbacked Over | 59c | 57.66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Over | 57c | 51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…3f67backed Under | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…630fbacked Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -7.3wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -41%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc709…0a40backed Over | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed Under | 42c | 45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed Under | 42c | 45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 60c | 43.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 252 | 56%141 W · 111 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 43c | 34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe13a…6bb5backed Under | 43c | 33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +38%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…9f5abacked Under | 43c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14cd…1716backed Under | 42c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…9b74backed Under | 43c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -6.9wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x60a6…7ed2backed Under | 43c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8abe…61debacked Over | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +87.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2877…dc5bbacked Under | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Coventry City FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Coventry City FC vs. Leicester City FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Coventry City FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Coventry City FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Coventry City FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.