Asian League · resolved market
Al Okhdood SC vs. NEOM SC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a544d42e95a4d2364199ed43c4c953df5a5a190b254545cb05053cbf325201e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,415
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,872
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,415 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 39c | 1,707$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.64 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3060…c709backed Over | 69c | 1,456$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.22 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 35c | 1,285$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.51 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…5018backed Over | 56c | 894.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.44 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 66c | 635.48$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.48 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 29c | 529.69$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.23 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 68c | 276.9$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.61 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 36c | 141.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.32 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…1482backed Over | 48c | 134.62$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 44c | 126.8$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.13 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 42c | 122.8$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.73 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Under | 26c | 120$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 55c | 99.57$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.57 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Over | 74c | 81.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -11.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked Under | 27c | 79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d46…26d8backed Over | 80c | 70.22$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 29c | 70.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 71c | 68.71$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 58c | 49.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 41c | 47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…592bbacked Over | 53c | 39.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4a…d721backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa554…e53dbacked Over | 74c | 34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…6e88backed Over | 74c | 34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…2bd8backed Over | 60c | 32.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed Over | 74c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b73…a19dbacked Over | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a1…1c72backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…47f8backed Over | 74c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 75c | 20.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -5.7wins | -0.16per pick | 70cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cbf8backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…9f5abacked Over | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…9bdbbacked Over | 74c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked Over | 74c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +3.3wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Okhdood SC vs. NEOM SC: O/U 1.5this page
- Al Okhdood SC vs. NEOM SC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Okhdood SC vs. NEOM SC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Okhdood SC vs. NEOM SC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Okhdood SC vs. NEOM SC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.