Asian League · resolved market
Al Okhdood SC vs. NEOM SC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3301875c031d82122e5b4bb7263d64ecbec9a2a61e93be0b177d33c98dae1c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,141
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,154
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,141 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x43de…d169backed Over | 50c | 2,322$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.11 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…1482backed Over | 33c | 999.98$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.99 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 748.13$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.35 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 715.92$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.01 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed Under | 35c | 606.53$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.13 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +119.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f82cbacked Under | 67c | 477.48$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 458.73$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.17 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 73c | 418.12$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.37 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Under | 49c | 404.17$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.07 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 50c | 403.83$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.66 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 73c | 388$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.24 | 120 | 74.2%89 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 54c | 373.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.32 | 1,306 | 56.9%743 W · 563 L | +67.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5277…614fbacked Over | 48c | 353.83$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 40c | 252.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.75 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 14c | 199.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 71c | 115.43$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.67 | 692 | 52.3%362 W · 330 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 114.4$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 50c | 114.4$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 141 | 53.2%75 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Under | 53c | 112.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.91 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Over | 48c | 105$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35c6…a5dcbacked Over | 11c | 101.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Over | 48c | 89$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.72 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Over | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 49c | 60.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.65 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 67c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.36 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 70c | 57.31$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.31 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 49c | 56.44$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 1,354 | 45.4%615 W · 739 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4a…d721backed Under | 72c | 55.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 49c | 50.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3592…c81abacked Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 55cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2174…fad8backed Over | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d19…8b58backed Under | 52c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Under | 54c | 35.56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6530…4525backed Under | 53c | 30.42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce96…ff5cbacked Under | 52c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ba…068dbacked Under | 54c | 22.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…0bc0backed Under | 52c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Okhdood SC vs. NEOM SC: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Okhdood SC vs. NEOM SC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Okhdood SC vs. NEOM SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Okhdood SC vs. NEOM SC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Okhdood SC vs. NEOM SC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.