Asian League · resolved market
Al Okhdood SC vs. NEOM SC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2becdcb145dfca0b87c273fbdf26d5b53b23837744b233408aa454af7ba9fd0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,299
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,881
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,299 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 24c | 544.98$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.26 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed Under | 61c | 495.05$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.05 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +119.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f51…41edbacked Over | 30c | 330.84$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.2 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 69c | 184.84$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.3 | 164 | 54.3%89 W · 75 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 44c | 85.69$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 29c | 78.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 141 | 53.2%75 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 23c | 71.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Under | 56c | 70.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.15 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 28c | 52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…534cbacked Over | 47c | 50.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 28c | 42.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8b…0c2abacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 44c | 39.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 44c | 38.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 53c | 25.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -11.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd746…4266backed Under | 53c | 23.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 71c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…2663backed Under | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 42cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Okhdood SC vs. NEOM SC: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Okhdood SC vs. NEOM SC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Okhdood SC vs. NEOM SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Okhdood SC vs. NEOM SC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Okhdood SC vs. NEOM SC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.