Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Kent State Golden Flashes (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e7e48135416014127fc25e7f12323313629c7994131667c65cc4d57cdb264dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Southern Miss Golden Eaglesof Kent State Golden Flashes, Southern Miss Golden Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,938
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,014
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,938 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 54c | 874.35$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.35 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 47c | 533.19$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.29 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 46c | 505.5$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.53 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 46c | 199.5$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.77 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 46c | 107$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.22 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 49c | 75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 45c | 47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa554…e53dbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 54c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…bb17backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 54c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb59a…e730backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 55c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…2cb0backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 54c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…d7cebacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 55c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Kent State Golden Flashes (-5.5)this page
- Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Southern Miss Golden EaglesSouthern Miss Golden Eagles won
- Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Southern Miss Golden Eagles: O/U 149.5Under won
- Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Southern Miss Golden Eagles: O/U 150.5Under won
- Spread: Kent State Golden Flashes (-4.5)Southern Miss Golden Eagles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.