TailMyPicks

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College Football · resolved market

Louisiana-Lafayette vs. Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Delaware Fightin' Blue Hensof Louisiana-Lafayette, Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,207
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,207

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,207 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xed3f…0ab8backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens45c262$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.971392.3%12 W · 1 L+5.4wins+0.42per pick51cpaid+85.2%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x9773…67e8backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens46c223$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.411163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+31.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4aff…c91bbacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens46c149$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.462360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+18.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe1d9…a94bbacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens45c141$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.551668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+36.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc938…af43backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens44c137$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.721573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.23per pick51cpaid+50.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb4f9…5526backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens47c109$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.771866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+33.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0fed…0d78backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens48c73$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.961361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x143d…5bc4backed Louisiana-Lafayette53c52$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.561250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b74…b58fbacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens74c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.252075%15 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8358…956bbacked Louisiana-Lafayette54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x806c…3381backed Louisiana-Lafayette56c46$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.76425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.29per pick53cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x152c…3b50backed Louisiana-Lafayette55c43$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.81742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ad2…d17fbacked Louisiana-Lafayette53c43$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.79540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba36…52d0backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens46c43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.221070%7 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+43%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2061…1ed1backed Louisiana-Lafayette54c41$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.14520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-56.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7483…96a6backed Louisiana-Lafayette55c41$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.55944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc5d…be79backed Louisiana-Lafayette53c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.26per pick48cpaid-54%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd9a7…261bbacked Louisiana-Lafayette54c37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.98837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2579…d6cbbacked Louisiana-Lafayette54c36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.44540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd647…9c8fbacked Louisiana-Lafayette54c36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.44933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-35.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd595…7893backed Louisiana-Lafayette53c35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.55825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-55.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8f6c…ac71backed Louisiana-Lafayette54c34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.521060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedc2…e450backed Louisiana-Lafayette56c34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.04862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+29.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf71c…488bbacked Louisiana-Lafayette55c32$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-44.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x09db…7384backed Louisiana-Lafayette54c32$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.28837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-34.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fe9…a400backed Louisiana-Lafayette54c32$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2840%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7f5f…99d3backed Louisiana-Lafayette56c31$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+44.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d6e…148bbacked Louisiana-Lafayette53c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae69…0c24backed Louisiana-Lafayette56c29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.241136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfcf5…840ebacked Louisiana-Lafayette56c28$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6830%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa60c…b395backed Louisiana-Lafayette55c26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-34.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc17…53b6backed Louisiana-Lafayette55c24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick54cpaid-51.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x05ba…2117backed Louisiana-Lafayette53c22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6640%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc39b…5754backed Louisiana-Lafayette53c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.13650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x879d…8c58backed Louisiana-Lafayette56c21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.76425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x34b2…cec2backed Louisiana-Lafayette53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.