College Football · resolved market
Spread: Louisiana-Lafayette (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1823b01ce13183678bbe033de479d1dcb35369d3d6873016146974e7b14e5c00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Delaware Fightin' Blue Hensof Louisiana-Lafayette, Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,936
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,152
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,936 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Louisiana-Lafayette | 38c | 1,791$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.05 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Louisiana-Lafayette | 40c | 1,109$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.4 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Louisiana-Lafayette | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 59c | 183$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.03 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 60c | 156$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.12 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 55c | 143.76$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.69 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 56c | 143$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.92 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 60c | 129$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 61c | 102$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.78 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 57c | 101$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 55c | 99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6e…b1a7backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 60c | 87$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 63c | 87$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed Louisiana-Lafayette | 41c | 66$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 59c | 57$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 60c | 57$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 56c | 57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Louisiana-Lafayette | 43c | 52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked Louisiana-Lafayette | 40c | 49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…409bbacked Louisiana-Lafayette | 41c | 48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ad…2c48backed Louisiana-Lafayette | 45c | 47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…38ccbacked Louisiana-Lafayette | 42c | 47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 61c | 46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480a…e3c9backed Louisiana-Lafayette | 41c | 46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0b4ebacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 56c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…3d1cbacked Louisiana-Lafayette | 41c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 61c | 42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7399…fe96backed Louisiana-Lafayette | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cce…ebfebacked Louisiana-Lafayette | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf6…9bd5backed Louisiana-Lafayette | 41c | 38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 48cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38a6…bbd5backed Louisiana-Lafayette | 44c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 53cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x063c…d642backed Louisiana-Lafayette | 44c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98ae…2bfebacked Louisiana-Lafayette | 42c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…64d2backed Louisiana-Lafayette | 41c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…dbd8backed Louisiana-Lafayette | 39c | 34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Louisiana-Lafayette | 40c | 33.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…60e5backed Louisiana-Lafayette | 44c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…1045backed Louisiana-Lafayette | 44c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…8b4bbacked Louisiana-Lafayette | 40c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…7f8cbacked Louisiana-Lafayette | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4f…73a6backed Louisiana-Lafayette | 39c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2877…dc5bbacked Louisiana-Lafayette | 39c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…7b2ebacked Louisiana-Lafayette | 45c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…6e88backed Louisiana-Lafayette | 40c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…a93bbacked Louisiana-Lafayette | 39c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…08ebbacked Louisiana-Lafayette | 40c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f6…c5d2backed Louisiana-Lafayette | 40c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…d7cebacked Louisiana-Lafayette | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x888b…8f3fbacked Louisiana-Lafayette | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…667fbacked Louisiana-Lafayette | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb7…8745backed Louisiana-Lafayette | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Louisiana-Lafayette | 43c | 24.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…c4e5backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 56c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d49…c438backed Louisiana-Lafayette | 45c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…bb17backed Louisiana-Lafayette | 44c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Louisiana-Lafayette (-3.5)this page
- Louisiana-Lafayette vs. Delaware Fightin' Blue HensDelaware Fightin' Blue Hens won
- Louisiana-Lafayette vs. Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens: 1H MoneylineDelaware Fightin' Blue Hens won
- Louisiana-Lafayette vs. Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens: O/U 60.5Under won
- Louisiana-Lafayette vs. Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens: O/U 62.5Under won
- O/U 61.5Under won
- Spread: Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens (-1.5)Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens won
- Spread: Louisiana-Lafayette (-1.5)Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens won
- Spread: Louisiana-Lafayette (-2.5)Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.