College Football · resolved market
Spread: Louisiana-Lafayette (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99c8db317b15d97bbf1da4b76fabc9bc0b9782d43ae8fa0e730d177efddc167a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Delaware Fightin' Blue Hensof Louisiana-Lafayette, Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,952
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,883
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,952 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 49c | 11,329$5,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,770.55 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Louisiana-Lafayette | 51c | 7,000$3,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,570 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Louisiana-Lafayette | 47c | 5,305$2,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,472.88 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Louisiana-Lafayette | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 53c | 2,239$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.92 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Louisiana-Lafayette | 48c | 1,690$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.5 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Louisiana-Lafayette | 46c | 630$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.8 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 54c | 630$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.8 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 57c | 482.54$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.54 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Louisiana-Lafayette | 49c | 424.02$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.77 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Louisiana-Lafayette | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 209 | 50.2%105 W · 104 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Louisiana-Lafayette | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…d16cbacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 174 | 50%87 W · 87 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 56c | 134$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.96 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Louisiana-Lafayette | 44c | 120$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Louisiana-Lafayette | 49c | 80.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04c8…8538backed Louisiana-Lafayette | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Louisiana-Lafayette | 49c | 40.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6e…b1a7backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce1…b62cbacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Louisiana-Lafayette | 36c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 51c | 26.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…3b16backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Louisiana-Lafayette (-2.5)this page
- Louisiana-Lafayette vs. Delaware Fightin' Blue HensDelaware Fightin' Blue Hens won
- Louisiana-Lafayette vs. Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens: 1H MoneylineDelaware Fightin' Blue Hens won
- Louisiana-Lafayette vs. Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens: O/U 60.5Under won
- Louisiana-Lafayette vs. Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens: O/U 62.5Under won
- O/U 61.5Under won
- Spread: Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens (-1.5)Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens won
- Spread: Louisiana-Lafayette (-1.5)Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens won
- Spread: Louisiana-Lafayette (-3.5)Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.