Will Takefusa Kubo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea6b733606b4ad303d47dc543805ce4bb72b0e3fb3a8f85499f9d3f35834d4c7

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 29, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $6,965
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $6,730

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,965 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8f7b…2a5fbacked Yes	42c	821.5$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$342.13	201	42.8%86 W · 115 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb410…7736backed No	48c	783.09$376 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$406.94	139	57.6%80 W · 59 L	+18.4wins	+0.13per pick	44cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xaeed…074bbacked No	48c	582.08$281 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300.85	44	38.6%17 W · 27 L	-4.2wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes	39c	500$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.83	249	54.2%135 W · 114 L	+40.3wins	+0.16per pick	38cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	66+0.15 edge/pick
0x6bb6…8e4abacked Yes	53c	401.21$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.65	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-2.1wins	-0.26per pick	38cpaid	-75%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1959…0b3fbacked No	68c	396.24$268 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.22	56	50%28 W · 28 L	+5.5wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+68.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed No	57c	393.77$223 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.8	124	54%67 W · 57 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e6e…7f53backed Yes	48c	340$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162	101	31.7%32 W · 69 L	-6.8wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Yes	50c	300$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151	152	61.2%93 W · 59 L	+7.4wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x59fb…eceabacked No	55c	249.99$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112	38	39.5%15 W · 23 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d5b…7744backed No	49c	205.27$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.27	49	57.1%28 W · 21 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed No	69c	200$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62	159	42.1%67 W · 92 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe393…f016backed Yes	44c	199.99$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8454…331abacked No	50c	192.25$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.13	104	41.3%43 W · 61 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x43e7…2380backed Yes	27c	186.3$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	38	21.1%8 W · 30 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	25cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No	73c	156.3$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.2	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a59…a364backed Yes	12c	150$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.5	99	15.2%15 W · 84 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41f9…84e6backed Yes	42c	120$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.2	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed No	51c	105.49$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.84	130	51.5%67 W · 63 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked No	60c	102.5$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41	412	31.6%130 W · 282 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	52c	85$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.42	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeaa9…1737backed Yes	53c	81$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.93	131	48.9%64 W · 67 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x167a…91d5backed No	46c	80.23$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.32	36	55.6%20 W · 16 L	+4.4wins	+0.12per pick	43cpaid	+93.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ad9…0eaebacked No	59c	80$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.8	42	57.1%24 W · 18 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52eb…67acbacked Yes	53c	69$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.57	163	36.2%59 W · 104 L	-9.2wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked No	64c	60$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.6	427	37.2%159 W · 268 L	-15.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a51…05adbacked Yes	47c	53.71$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.35	63	65.1%41 W · 22 L	+6.9wins	+0.11per pick	54cpaid	+18%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x569b…c66ebacked Yes	49c	51.02$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	144	22.2%32 W · 112 L	-10.5wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf0ac…80c0backed No	79c	50.01$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.65	53	86.8%46 W · 7 L	+9.6wins	+0.18per pick	69cpaid	+35.9%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes	25c	50$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	457	36.3%166 W · 291 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f70…312bbacked Yes	53c	45$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.7	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d8e…735bbacked No	56c	41.88$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.31	111	56.8%63 W · 48 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x300c…333fbacked Yes	55c	40$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.8	146	52.7%77 W · 69 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3578…8c5fbacked Yes	55c	36.36$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	44	38.6%17 W · 27 L	-8.9wins	-0.20per pick	59cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x721a…9295backed No	70c	21$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.3	162	46.9%76 W · 86 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x211a…6ef4backed No	49c	21$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.71	60	36.7%22 W · 38 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82fb…bed6backed Yes	54c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	59	44.1%26 W · 33 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed Yes	53c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.6	235	43%101 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes	53c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.6	481	40.1%193 W · 288 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No	73c	19$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.13	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 146. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Takefusa Kubo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event