TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Handball" during the Netherlands vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,865
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,876

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,865 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcb84…8bbdbacked Yes40c155.85$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.913438.2%13 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-38.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd9c…7133backed Yes42c149.68$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.819743.3%42 W · 55 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed No58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5876445.9%351 W · 413 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd555…e28abacked Yes40c90.88$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.8335958.5%210 W · 149 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x355e…a038backed No63c60$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.824037.1%89 W · 151 L-17.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xca6e…af60backed No60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick68cpaid+19.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe393…f016backed Yes45c49.98$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.492035%7 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x426f…e76bbacked No60c42$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.998043.8%35 W · 45 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked No57c40.43$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9235954%194 W · 165 L+20.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd850…e26cbacked No61c40$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.421944.3%97 W · 122 L-16.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b7d…cb08backed No60c34.85$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9116847%79 W · 89 L-11.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a72…a2abbacked No59c29.85$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.612835.7%10 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No59c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.752,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed No60c21$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.661752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfec4…cfc8backed No60c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No60c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1221850.9%111 W · 107 L-29.6wins-0.14per pick65cpaid-21.1%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xeb58…c62ebacked No60c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.