TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Qatar" during the Netherlands vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,795
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,017

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,795 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes47c385.71$182 inWon+$203.2176445.9%351 W · 413 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f1…701fbacked No52c250$130 inLost-$130425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc972…dcd9backed No36c202$74 inLost-$73.663860.5%23 W · 15 L+5.5wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+18.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes63c200$126 inWon+$7455044.7%246 W · 304 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes63c200$126 inWon+$7448961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xf2bb…ae21backed Yes57c120$68 inWon+$51.76142.6%26 W · 35 L-5.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x355e…a038backed No57c105$60 inLost-$59.724037.1%89 W · 151 L-17.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked No46c63.56$30 inLost-$29.5535954%194 W · 165 L+20.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No38c59.69$22 inLost-$22.4766239.6%262 W · 400 L-48.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaaa2…c75fbacked Yes63c55.62$35 inWon+$20.628144.4%36 W · 45 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x426f…e76bbacked Yes65c42$27 inWon+$14.78043.8%35 W · 45 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No45c36.02$16 inLost-$16.122,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked No53c36$19 inLost-$19.0819445.4%88 W · 106 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e13…e968backed No54c30$16 inLost-$16.211133.3%37 W · 74 L-8.8wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-32.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd9c…7133backed Yes60c25.02$15 inWon+$109743.3%42 W · 55 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x900e…a4d3backed Yes63c25$16 inWon+$9.258345.8%38 W · 45 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-5.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed No54c21$11 inLost-$11.3461752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cc7…4572backed No54c20$11 inLost-$10.82642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15f7…f0c4backed Yes63c20$13 inWon+$7.41747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb58…c62ebacked Yes66c20$13 inWon+$6.8862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.