Will Ryan Gravenberch score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbfa9e22b20f6ce432ff34185d3f90778ac1368fb7476082181f3250a69c9c65f

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 30, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,797
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,718

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,797 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2546…5155backed No	55c	259.68$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.81	224	49.6%111 W · 113 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d8e…735bbacked Yes	50c	143$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.88	111	56.8%63 W · 48 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed No	63c	116.05$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.33	423	36.9%156 W · 267 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09b4…e56dbacked No	73c	115.21$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.11	60	48.3%29 W · 31 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe393…f016backed Yes	37c	104.93$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.73	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a59…a364backed Yes	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	99	15.2%15 W · 84 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Yes	40c	99.46$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.78	152	61.2%93 W · 59 L	+7.4wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb27f…2c41backed No	60c	99.22$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.69	114	45.6%52 W · 62 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed No	57c	85.24$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.91	124	54%67 W · 57 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1959…0b3fbacked No	59c	80$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.8	56	50%28 W · 28 L	+5.5wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+68.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x99c4…0c89backed No	18c	61.31$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.31	117	30.8%36 W · 81 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	+25%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes	38c	56.46$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.55	481	40.1%193 W · 288 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe457…5ab3backed Yes	61c	40$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.2	232	45.7%106 W · 126 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Yes	46c	35.31$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.18	147	39.5%58 W · 89 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	44c	35$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.4	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No	68c	30.95$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.9	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0138…8451backed Yes	40c	30$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.10per pick	28cpaid	-68.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa34a…71bbbacked No	54c	27.78$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.78	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+2.4wins	+0.20per pick	47cpaid	+40.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xca78…1b88backed No	62c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.6	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.22per pick	55cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 146. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Ryan Gravenberch score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event