TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Handball" during the France vs Iraq FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,800
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,412

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,800 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe362…bd00backed Yes56c1,274$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.552412.5%3 W · 21 L-4.8wins-0.20per pick32cpaid-77.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe393…f016backed No43c320$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1842035%7 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97ea…3363backed Yes66c300$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1984738.3%18 W · 29 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-36.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No33c268.1$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.5634151%174 W · 167 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d1f…6465backed No43c186.5$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.3113641.2%56 W · 80 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed No50c103.14$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.6948961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xe8fb…b650backed No31c100$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.96839.7%27 W · 41 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x938e…2ee3backed No43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572222.7%5 W · 17 L-4.7wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-61.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9812…8b8dbacked No43c87.06$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.624045%18 W · 22 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2277…6604backed No43c86.85$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.518641.9%78 W · 108 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f7c…208abacked Yes70c80$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.2425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-63.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf25b…82d0backed Yes27c72.07$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.326338.1%24 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b7d…cb08backed No40c71.58$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1416847%79 W · 89 L-11.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed No77c52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0817249.4%85 W · 87 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x17f4…9d7fbacked No44c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.410853.7%58 W · 50 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb92a…f51cbacked No43c39.63$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.595050%25 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed No62c35$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4514839.2%58 W · 90 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa719…9074backed No34c32.35$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.35580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+57.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b65…2852backed No43c30.27$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.253850%19 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe74…a70ebacked No43c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.123357.9%135 W · 98 L+19.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+22.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2fa6…3c12backed No42c29.96$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.38875%6 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked No70c25.26$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5835954%194 W · 165 L+20.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xceab…dce7backed Yes55c24.6$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5654450.6%275 W · 269 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd9f…a686backed Yes66c16.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1118473.4%135 W · 49 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick71cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe457…5ab3backed Yes67c15$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0523245.7%106 W · 126 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.