Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Bridget Brink be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2d7b77caa7e513dc8ad74c0c4c66acfbaa7384d79f5d0e4bb4f88666ac3b496
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,840
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,655
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,840 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 51c | 4,096$2,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,090.3 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ca…1705backed Yes | 9c | 3,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…f3e7backed Yes | 4c | 2,577$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.91 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 22cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 73c | 2,220$1,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.59 | 147 | 29.9%44 W · 103 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Yes | 5c | 1,533$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.08 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 41c | 1,529$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.21 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 5c | 1,498$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.08 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5d…1614backed No | 64c | 993.58$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.81 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed Yes | 77c | 970.13$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.82 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 77c | 954.71$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.18 | 171 | 40.4%69 W · 102 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9e…6944backed No | 47c | 876.45$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.45 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Yes | 9c | 824.27$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.64 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +18.5wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3080…337bbacked Yes | 31c | 739.15$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.48 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 32c | 669.34$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.01 | 165 | 44.2%73 W · 92 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 64c | 555.1$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.44 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 54c | 514.97$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.08 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 54c | 500$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 244 | 33.2%81 W · 163 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 67c | 450.67$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.95 | 211 | 61.1%129 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 54c | 427$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.16 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 22c | 409.58$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.46 | 248 | 31%77 W · 171 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 67c | 407.35$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.61 | 182 | 37.4%68 W · 114 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 11c | 394.66$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.97 | 494 | 11.5%57 W · 437 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 72c | 387$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.31 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43ad…70a1backed Yes | 72c | 368.1$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 74c | 349.01$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.12 | 152 | 32.9%50 W · 102 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x274e…648cbacked No | 21c | 300$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +10.8wins | +0.22per pick | 31cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed No | 26c | 300$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked No | 27c | 295.09$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.61 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 72c | 276.92$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.45 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 21c | 270$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.28 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…d0e2backed Yes | 74c | 264.78$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.97 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5446…18f6backed Yes | 75c | 250$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e85abacked Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 69c | 199.21$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.84 | 135 | 46.7%63 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 7c | 197.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked Yes | 31c | 188.16$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.49 | 68 | 26.5%18 W · 50 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 72c | 181.31$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f48…e69bbacked No | 29c | 171.21$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.92 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed No | 32c | 159.67$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.72 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 40c | 156$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.24 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 41c | 140$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.05 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…e5b9backed Yes | 46c | 135.64$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.07 | 228 | 48.7%111 W · 117 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 42c | 132.37$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.88 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32fd…5c8bbacked Yes | 11c | 131.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1206…1362backed Yes | 80c | 129$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.82 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa48c…5506backed Yes | 43c | 114.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.87 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes | 44c | 113.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked No | 20c | 110$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 228 | 33.8%77 W · 151 L | +13.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 70c | 106$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.66 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 25c | 102.82$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.17 | 183 | 10.4%19 W · 164 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc77b…a526backed No | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.34 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1f…1cbbbacked Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 53c | 91$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.42 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 24c | 87.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.81 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3237…5658backed Yes | 45c | 87.67$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.45 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -4.0wins | -0.36per pick | 55cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7d…ca41backed No | 58c | 87.3$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 45c | 80$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked No | 33c | 75.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.75 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 42c | 71.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.34 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…ea5cbacked No | 42c | 70$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.4 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb24…ac2cbacked Yes | 55c | 67.16$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.94 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 76c | 66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba8…5968backed Yes | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 17c | 59.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.1 | 122 | 31.1%38 W · 84 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 39c | 59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 449 | 35.2%158 W · 291 L | -37.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 40c | 58.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 52c | 58.52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.94 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…89d2backed Yes | 31c | 56.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f44…7470backed No | 29c | 52.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.39 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 56c | 52.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…0b91backed Yes | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5896…447cbacked Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6c…e3f5backed Yes | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea5…a6e2backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 35c | 44.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 272 | 22.1%60 W · 212 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…9e36backed Yes | 44c | 38.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f6…0e74backed No | 47c | 37.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 51c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 154 | 31.2%48 W · 106 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x193b…f6ecbacked Yes | 45c | 34.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb119…680bbacked No | 55c | 34.12$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 62cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b62…0113backed No | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 42c | 30.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 334 | 21.9%73 W · 261 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf05…33e2backed No | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 61c | 29.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb333…e295backed Yes | 45c | 28.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 62c | 27.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f2…e77abacked No | 69c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 77c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 196 | 31.1%61 W · 135 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb0…9778backed No | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c5…4739backed No | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1b…b45dbacked No | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 42c | 24.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 669 | 14.8%99 W · 570 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -66%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 52c | 24.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00cd…c0aebacked No | 56c | 23.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x847c…9ff8backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bridget Brink be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?this page
- Will Matt Maasdam be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?No won
- Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.