La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Madrid place 2nd for the 2025-26 LaLiga season?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14240ed2ce6c8584451882708d260439acb2bb44f24ae11138b03360b5f9807f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,252
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,693
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,252 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaee8…1154backed Yes | 79c | 387.18$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.62 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 25c | 274$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 75c | 274$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…37e6backed Yes | 75c | 240.11$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 9c | 172.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 53c | 86.6$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed No | 25c | 84.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 117 | 69.2%81 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f50…7077backed Yes | 75c | 73.34$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…178bbacked Yes | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7efb…68a1backed No | 25c | 59.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…3d55backed No | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7f…0b4ebacked No | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb333…e295backed No | 47c | 32.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c64…cb26backed Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c0…191bbacked Yes | 74c | 25.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Madrid place 2nd for the 2025-26 LaLiga season?this page
- Will Barcelona place 2nd for the 2025-26 LaLiga season?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.