Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Montana Grizzlies vs. Portland State Vikings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a177993c548ab890b13ae009d69292c1ec51449bce8a497abdab677da587cf8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Montana Grizzliesof Montana Grizzlies, Portland State Vikings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,253
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,113
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,253 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbe14…3bd1backed Portland State Vikings | 1c | 10,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.72 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Montana Grizzlies | 70c | 8,494$5,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,584.56 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…c054backed Montana Grizzlies | 77c | 2,986$2,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.53 | 190 | 57.4%109 W · 81 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Portland State Vikings | 15c | 2,849$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.56 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Portland State Vikings | 17c | 2,025$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Portland State Vikings | 40c | 1,537$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.3 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Portland State Vikings | 24c | 1,484$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.5 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Portland State Vikings | 14c | 1,354$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.63 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Portland State Vikings | 29c | 1,091$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.48 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Portland State Vikings | 33c | 799.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Portland State Vikings | 31c | 768.12$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.14 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Montana Grizzlies | 59c | 736.62$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.76 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Montana Grizzlies | 73c | 715.79$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.77 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e44…94fabacked Portland State Vikings | 33c | 607.1$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Portland State Vikings | 66c | 601.55$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.2 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Portland State Vikings | 29c | 465.09$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.1 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Montana Grizzlies | 53c | 457.83$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.24 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae9…5b36backed Portland State Vikings | 25c | 440.97$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.48 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Portland State Vikings | 27c | 437.21$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.28 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3268…0decbacked Portland State Vikings | 4c | 425$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Portland State Vikings | 30c | 421.75$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.05 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Portland State Vikings | 23c | 410.28$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.8 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Portland State Vikings | 41c | 400$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 434 | 50%217 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Portland State Vikings | 31c | 400$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 253 | 25.3%64 W · 189 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Portland State Vikings | 33c | 365.52$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.56 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Portland State Vikings | 13c | 336.42$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.92 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Portland State Vikings | 13c | 332$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Montana Grizzlies | 35c | 240$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 267 | 40.8%109 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Portland State Vikings | 58c | 189.9$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 365 | 35.9%131 W · 234 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Montana Grizzlies | 61c | 187$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.96 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Montana Grizzlies | 34c | 173.91$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.78 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Montana Grizzlies | 61c | 164.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.43 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Portland State Vikings | 17c | 143$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Portland State Vikings | 45c | 124.78$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Portland State Vikings | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 101 | 26.7%27 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Montana Grizzlies | 36c | 99.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Montana Grizzlies | 78c | 97.46$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Montana Grizzlies | 77c | 93.35$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e0…b08ebacked Portland State Vikings | 66c | 90$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Portland State Vikings | 61c | 75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 225 | 52.9%119 W · 106 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Montana Grizzlies | 33c | 70.97$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.55 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Montana Grizzlies | 72c | 64$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Montana Grizzlies | 37c | 56.32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.58 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…06efbacked Portland State Vikings | 32c | 50.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.5wins | -0.39per pick | 61cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Portland State Vikings | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…5c69backed Portland State Vikings | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | -12.0wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -64%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked Portland State Vikings | 29c | 49.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ed…86ddbacked Montana Grizzlies | 45c | 49.22$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.22 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Montana Grizzlies | 39c | 47.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.03 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Portland State Vikings | 65c | 47.29$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc5…d36ebacked Portland State Vikings | 29c | 39.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Portland State Vikings | 55c | 39.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fff…665bbacked Portland State Vikings | 64c | 32.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…045fbacked Montana Grizzlies | 56c | 28.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Portland State Vikings | 62c | 26.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Montana Grizzlies | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…6fbdbacked Montana Grizzlies | 79c | 23.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 72cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Portland State Vikings | 61c | 23.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdec…a7a3backed Montana Grizzlies | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Montana Grizzlies | 71c | 21.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 143 | 54.5%78 W · 65 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b02…58ffbacked Montana Grizzlies | 71c | 21.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa993…1c15backed Montana Grizzlies | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Montana Grizzlies vs. Portland State Vikingsthis page
- Montana Grizzlies vs. Portland State Vikings: O/U 143.5Under won
- Spread: Portland State Vikings (-4.5)Montana Grizzlies won
- Spread: Portland State Vikings (-5.5)Montana Grizzlies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.