Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Pacific Tigers vs. San Francisco Dons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3fbf7ea7f07fd47892131e2b962f9b61d1a976462417993dd926d82570c1fd8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Francisco Donsof Pacific Tigers, San Francisco Dons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,238
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,306
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,238 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked San Francisco Dons | 80c | 12,786$10,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,570.57 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…e38abacked Pacific Tigers | 15c | 2,139$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.44 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Pacific Tigers | 30c | 2,046$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.6 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pacific Tigers | 21c | 1,927$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.04 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked San Francisco Dons | 71c | 1,669$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.6 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked San Francisco Dons | 64c | 1,453$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.08 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Pacific Tigers | 36c | 1,435$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.6 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ec…81c2backed Pacific Tigers | 10c | 1,405$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.41 | 88 | 17%15 W · 73 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed San Francisco Dons | 66c | 1,341$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.66 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Pacific Tigers | 25c | 1,221$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.29 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Pacific Tigers | 23c | 1,206$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.49 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Pacific Tigers | 20c | 1,189$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.92 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Pacific Tigers | 22c | 1,139$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.26 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pacific Tigers | 33c | 1,085$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.9 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked San Francisco Dons | 67c | 999.99$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa562…fbc1backed Pacific Tigers | 35c | 900$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Pacific Tigers | 20c | 807.99$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.03 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Pacific Tigers | 39c | 762.59$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Pacific Tigers | 29c | 559$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.11 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed San Francisco Dons | 72c | 554.95$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.84 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Pacific Tigers | 22c | 474.16$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.03 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Pacific Tigers | 31c | 454$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.59 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e4…5bbcbacked Pacific Tigers | 23c | 399.94$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.99 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Pacific Tigers | 24c | 343.04$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67ef…cf1bbacked Pacific Tigers | 32c | 317.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x497a…650fbacked Pacific Tigers | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Pacific Tigers | 17c | 300$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.32 | 253 | 25.3%64 W · 189 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pacific Tigers | 34c | 274$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.29 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad6b…1fdebacked Pacific Tigers | 14c | 228.27$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.43 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc5…d36ebacked San Francisco Dons | 75c | 213.33$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Pacific Tigers | 18c | 213.33$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…6bc8backed Pacific Tigers | 11c | 207.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x306c…51f2backed Pacific Tigers | 26c | 193.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed San Francisco Dons | 68c | 190.56$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.98 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed San Francisco Dons | 68c | 187.5$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Pacific Tigers | 32c | 187.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed Pacific Tigers | 32c | 182.5$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 73 | 24.7%18 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Pacific Tigers | 35c | 175.84$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.54 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked San Francisco Dons | 66c | 175.82$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.78 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…bebcbacked Pacific Tigers | 17c | 168.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +107%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked Pacific Tigers | 17c | 167.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Pacific Tigers | 26c | 121$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Pacific Tigers | 33c | 116$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked San Francisco Dons | 73c | 109.59$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 181 | 67.4%122 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa3…b307backed Pacific Tigers | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed San Francisco Dons | 79c | 90$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…5c69backed Pacific Tigers | 24c | 65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | -12.0wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -64%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked San Francisco Dons | 61c | 53.23$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7c…b465backed San Francisco Dons | 69c | 53$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 62cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Pacific Tigers | 33c | 51.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c91…3a65backed San Francisco Dons | 75c | 50.67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Pacific Tigers | 36c | 50.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Pacific Tigers | 35c | 50.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed San Francisco Dons | 65c | 49.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 198 | 51.5%102 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Pacific Tigers | 33c | 41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd1…0100backed San Francisco Dons | 67c | 37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Pacific Tigers | 33c | 34.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62e6…f251backed San Francisco Dons | 67c | 34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed San Francisco Dons | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5d…76b0backed Pacific Tigers | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked San Francisco Dons | 65c | 28.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 163 | 41.7%68 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a6…7ed2backed San Francisco Dons | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed San Francisco Dons | 62c | 22.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb58c…5fc5backed San Francisco Dons | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.