Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Appalachian State Mountaineers vs. Southern Miss Golden Eagles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde59d92a2ce4dc2c3398972177d160a89f1bc3e418410a76f7fc2cd752755ff2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Appalachian State Mountaineersof Appalachian State Mountaineers, Southern Miss Golden Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,715
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,664
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,715 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 59c | 1,248$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.1 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 7c | 1,001$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 46c | 882.74$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.87 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 34c | 740.13$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.39 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 50c | 667$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.5 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 56c | 593.46$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.75 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 58c | 566.33$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.33 | 453 | 51.4%233 W · 220 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc5…a45bbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 66c | 529.73$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.26 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe14…3bd1backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 2c | 519.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 52c | 499.65$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.04 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 61c | 467.21$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.45 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 37c | 402.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.82 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 39c | 318.23$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.23 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 50c | 234.02$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.22 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 45c | 217.67$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.67 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 253 | 25.3%64 W · 189 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 67c | 198$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.93 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 46c | 177$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.42 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 40c | 155.55$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.75 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 41c | 144.27$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.49 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 46c | 118.35$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.44 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 54c | 112.13$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.58 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 51c | 107.04$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.92 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 49c | 103.44$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.07 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 48c | 103.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 365 | 35.9%131 W · 234 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 54c | 96.48$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.38 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 53c | 96$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.12 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 64c | 89.81$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.43 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 47c | 88.61$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.64 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 49c | 75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 225 | 52.9%119 W · 106 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 51c | 63.24$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 51c | 53.51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.09 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…5c69backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 39c | 52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | -12.0wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -64%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 49c | 50.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 150 | 55.3%83 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 46c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 254 | 36.6%93 W · 161 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 217 | 46.1%100 W · 117 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 49c | 34.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 69c | 33.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 51c | 30.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83fb…e89bbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 169 | 52.7%89 W · 80 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Appalachian State Mountaineers vs. Southern Miss Golden Eaglesthis page
- Appalachian State Mountaineers vs. Southern Miss Golden Eagles: O/U 134.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.