South American Leagues · resolved market
CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Santos FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e000441cb7810a73b4645429084067433ff1320322b982bdfe3fab8a633a67c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,814
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,387
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,814 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9857…a505backed Over | 0c | 24,856$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Over | 1c | 8,559$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.11 | 188 | 59%111 W · 77 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 6c | 5,176$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.07 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 4,766$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645.52 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 2c | 4,358$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.04 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under | 66c | 4,027$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.53 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Over | 1c | 3,913$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 199 | 55.8%111 W · 88 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x650e…6d89backed Over | 48c | 1,327$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Over | 40c | 1,090$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.17 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 65c | 1,000$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 70c | 815.8$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.65 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 55c | 799.99$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Over | 36c | 597.22$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 55c | 543.59$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 35c | 507.53$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.79 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e09…2d11backed Over | 45c | 499.6$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.82 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Over | 51c | 393.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 51c | 351$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.93 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff8…d7fdbacked Over | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Over | 30c | 299.97$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.99 | 218 | 37.6%82 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 34c | 289.24$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.35 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 47c | 254.6$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.66 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Over | 30c | 210$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Over | 30c | 190.39$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 72c | 186.79$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.3 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 65c | 150$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 69c | 124$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.44 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7708…42cbbacked Over | 27c | 106.53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 62c | 101.7$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.65 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -5.0wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Under | 65c | 99.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Over | 34c | 78.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Under | 75c | 76.4$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f6…af63backed Under | 67c | 75.68$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Under | 71c | 69.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 145 | 35.9%52 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 31c | 65.31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fb…90c7backed Over | 27c | 59.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 38c | 52.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf04b…d0bfbacked Over | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6852…ce4dbacked Over | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 38c | 49.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…df0ebacked Over | 30c | 43.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 57c | 42.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f7…61cbbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5622…0111backed Over | 34c | 38.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -53%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Over | 30c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +7.9wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Under | 64c | 29.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -9.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 68c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 36c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 318 | 27%86 W · 232 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 70c | 26.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 162 | 66%107 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x764d…96aebacked Under | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -14.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xecda…6f0abacked Under | 67c | 22.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…ac63backed Under | 66c | 21.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x135c…fbebbacked Over | 73c | 21.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked Under | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…2d8fbacked Under | 77c | 19.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 68c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Santos FC: O/U 2.5this page
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Santos FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Santos FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Santos FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Santos FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Santos FC (-1.5)CA San Lorenzo de Almagro won
- Spread: Santos FC (-2.5)CA San Lorenzo de Almagro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.