South American Leagues · resolved market
CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Santos FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4748178bad246ba375ad22406f195384d2d5726f460f13a561bc9cbc49fcd6f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,021
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,622
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,021 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 45c | 769$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.03 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 55c | 767.78$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.44 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 54c | 713.41$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.17 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Yes | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 45c | 581.36$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.75 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked No | 55c | 300.6$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.33 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 55c | 295.6$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.58 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 55c | 227$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.63 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 60c | 190.91$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.01 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc115…9138backed Yes | 40c | 142.5$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 39c | 124.46$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 61c | 112.8$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.33 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d4…ef77backed Yes | 46c | 109.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.09 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed No | 54c | 107.18$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.41 | 145 | 35.9%52 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 37c | 107$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.41 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked No | 55c | 83.15$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.73 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 54c | 63.86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.53 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes | 40c | 49.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.51 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5be1…3371backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked No | 56c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 162 | 66%107 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 44c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 53c | 21.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed No | 55c | 18.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Santos FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Santos FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Santos FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Santos FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Santos FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Santos FC (-1.5)CA San Lorenzo de Almagro won
- Spread: Santos FC (-2.5)CA San Lorenzo de Almagro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.