South American Leagues · resolved market
CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Santos FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcaff5c507ddb262b4d0e0b442b9cc2c6cf62437e01b065f9a29178fe736ba920
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,836
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,120
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,836 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ba8…cdb3backed Over | 56c | 24,451$13,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,743.64 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 0c | 11,442$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 199 | 55.8%111 W · 88 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a4…d8b4backed Under | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 7,462$3,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,363.67 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 44c | 6,902$3,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,050.7 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 45c | 6,512$2,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,915.42 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 44c | 3,352$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.98 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Over | 56c | 1,391$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.62 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under | 45c | 1,362$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.07 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 43c | 1,355$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.6 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb357…2587backed Over | 58c | 1,150$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 43c | 799.03$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.68 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 55c | 603.26$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.5 | 196 | 30.6%60 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 36c | 553.87$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.6 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 43c | 397.21$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.52 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 56c | 359.13$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.12 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Under | 36c | 199.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4658backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 66 | 68.2%45 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Under | 45c | 176.11$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.82 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 43c | 166.02$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.42 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…1897backed Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 124 | 39.5%49 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 43c | 152.1$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.31 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 42c | 101$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.42 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Over | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…9691backed Over | 57c | 88.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.28 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…a1d3backed Over | 63c | 77.78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Under | 43c | 70.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 145 | 35.9%52 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…bb1dbacked Over | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Under | 46c | 68.08$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.47 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecee…2120backed Over | 64c | 68$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 46c | 66.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 117 | 63.2%74 W · 43 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 36c | 56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 60c | 52.56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.94 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 44c | 43.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…c6bbbacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecda…6f0abacked Under | 42c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 46c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb439…7418backed Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1a…f498backed Over | 64c | 28.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 162 | 66%107 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 42c | 25.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 192 | 64.1%123 W · 69 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Over | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7708…42cbbacked Under | 47c | 22.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Santos FC: O/U 1.5this page
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Santos FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Santos FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Santos FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Santos FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Santos FC (-1.5)CA San Lorenzo de Almagro won
- Spread: Santos FC (-2.5)CA San Lorenzo de Almagro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.