Asian League · resolved market
Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x732be228d08222b18bae657bd755efc097b943da97d4f2bf7792fd5288e999f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,052
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,852
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,052 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 39c | 3,063$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.34 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Under | 60c | 2,129$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.61 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Under | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 35c | 1,206$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.2 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 61c | 1,144$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.37 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 63c | 1,126$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.67 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc20f…ab16backed Under | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Under | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 62c | 881.94$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.58 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Under | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Over | 32c | 446.17$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 59c | 287$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.49 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked Over | 39c | 256.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.01 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 60c | 242.16$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.72 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 58c | 226.65$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.19 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 57c | 219$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.17 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 59c | 196$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.36 | 162 | 52.5%85 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Over | 39c | 128.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Over | 39c | 113.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…049abacked Under | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 61c | 77$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Under | 68c | 67$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…e00fbacked Over | 40c | 65.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 58c | 54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Under | 63c | 52.38$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 38c | 49.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 39c | 49.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 34c | 48.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 294 | 32%94 W · 200 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9808…5cfdbacked Under | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +36%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 61c | 30.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Fateh Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Kholood Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Kholood Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Fateh Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.