Asian League · resolved market
Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc18e62fb240ea149d0b9ea5d1b245bfb12ee07e2a6036ff0975dbd2d35d796fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,210
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,213
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,210 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 61c | 1,282$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.13 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 34c | 700$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 108 | 23.1%25 W · 83 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2444…4252backed Under | 44c | 540.12$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.54 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 43c | 478.21$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.58 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 58c | 349.98$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.49 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 43c | 308.52$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.21 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 36c | 294.11$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.88 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 56c | 265.65$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.07 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 58c | 262.58$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.03 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…810cbacked Over | 42c | 239.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 61c | 191.83$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.58 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 134 | 63.4%85 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 42c | 168.57$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.77 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 58c | 168.57$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.77 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 56c | 163$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.28 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Over | 57c | 151.65$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.44 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…586dbacked Over | 60c | 150$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 65c | 126.18$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.7 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 61c | 124$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.64 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9522…7af0backed Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…e90dbacked Over | 40c | 86.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 42c | 71.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.26 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 57c | 63.16$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 294 | 32%94 W · 200 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…e00fbacked Over | 60c | 57.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.75 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Under | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Over | 42c | 49.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -43%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Under | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 33c | 45.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 58c | 34.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Over | 58c | 34.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 53c | 30.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 39c | 29.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 58c | 27.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 63c | 26.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad7…47b2backed Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 50c | 23.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Fateh Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Kholood Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Kholood Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Fateh Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.