Asian League · resolved market
Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbbcd3b14598043995b4cc738420300cfd29405af9e05eb57fc86dca13b0631f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,372
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,591
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,372 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 25c | 401$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.04 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Over | 17c | 316$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.42 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 17c | 299.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 36c | 207.46$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.81 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 58c | 183.19$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.23 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.67 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Over | 53c | 165.46$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…e90dbacked Over | 65c | 150$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9522…7af0backed Under | 20c | 130$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 107.06$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2490…aa08backed Under | 71c | 101.94$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 33c | 84.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Over | 16c | 69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 56c | 68.39$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Over | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -43%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5766…124fbacked Over | 49c | 48.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 64cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 37c | 46.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 32c | 44.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 34c | 44.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 39c | 32.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…d33ebacked Over | 54c | 30.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c04…c81abacked Over | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 62cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…e29bbacked Over | 71c | 14.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 80 | 67.5%54 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 1.5this page
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Fateh Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Kholood Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Kholood Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Fateh Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.