Tennis · resolved market
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Federico Cina vs Bernard Tomic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe072281bdff97bfff8c9a7e49d05db4bbcfd5b57ef1d94794ad93819f55ea01c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Federico Cinaof Federico Cina, Bernard Tomic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,638
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,463
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,638 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfac7…78ebbacked Federico Cina | 80c | 3,753$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.46 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Bernard Tomic | 18c | 2,700$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.99 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Bernard Tomic | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Bernard Tomic | 8c | 1,079$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.01 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Bernard Tomic | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.02 | 336 | 50.9%171 W · 165 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc20f…ab16backed Bernard Tomic | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57bf…85bdbacked Bernard Tomic | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Bernard Tomic | 11c | 980.45$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.85 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Bernard Tomic | 18c | 847$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.99 | 671 | 44.7%300 W · 371 L | +30.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79d0…4dffbacked Bernard Tomic | 4c | 587.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 312 | 20.5%64 W · 248 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bernard Tomic | 10c | 539$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.11 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Bernard Tomic | 20c | 496.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Bernard Tomic | 20c | 477$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.94 | 242 | 28.5%69 W · 173 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Bernard Tomic | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 204 | 12.7%26 W · 178 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c3…55a3backed Bernard Tomic | 14c | 381$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.34 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Bernard Tomic | 18c | 363.75$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.75 | 364 | 35.2%128 W · 236 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bernard Tomic | 6c | 361.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Bernard Tomic | 5c | 255.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…3850backed Bernard Tomic | 7c | 215.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 856 | 24.4%209 W · 647 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Federico Cina | 78c | 209.62$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.12 | 401 | 61.1%245 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Bernard Tomic | 17c | 164.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Federico Cina | 79c | 145.83$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.83 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75f…d7f6backed Federico Cina | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 207 | 64.7%134 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17af…b7e4backed Bernard Tomic | 18c | 109.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 299 | 48.5%145 W · 154 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Bernard Tomic | 15c | 102.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 580 | 48.4%281 W · 299 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe324…9189backed Federico Cina | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 206 | 64.1%132 W · 74 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Bernard Tomic | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 303 | 39.9%121 W · 182 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ded…9025backed Bernard Tomic | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 248 | 37.5%93 W · 155 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0813…41e1backed Federico Cina | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 371 | 58.8%218 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Bernard Tomic | 18c | 56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Federico Cina | 78c | 48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.