Tennis · resolved market
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Lukas Neumayer
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf89af27c301d025c8a16d7a1382fe67159cb33e532e9d58cb9e04ed971b56524
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lukas Neumayerof Alejandro Moro Canas, Lukas Neumayer
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,875
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,829
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,875 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Alejandro Moro Canas | 31c | 6,496$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Lukas Neumayer | 70c | 5,560$3,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,643.36 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lukas Neumayer | 76c | 3,321$2,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.82 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…44b8backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 11c | 3,145$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.87 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +113.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 10c | 2,256$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 721 | 32%231 W · 490 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 28c | 2,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 29c | 1,790$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.4 | 538 | 43.5%234 W · 304 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecee…2120backed Lukas Neumayer | 69c | 1,072$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.46 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Alejandro Moro Canas | 3c | 1,028$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 204 | 12.7%26 W · 178 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…ea35backed Lukas Neumayer | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc20f…ab16backed Lukas Neumayer | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72b0…1579backed Lukas Neumayer | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6170…f3fdbacked Alejandro Moro Canas | 31c | 966.73$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 277 | 62.8%174 W · 103 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lukas Neumayer | 75c | 904.47$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.08 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x129f…7b9ebacked Lukas Neumayer | 69c | 861.78$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.15 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 30c | 650$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 12c | 480.83$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Lukas Neumayer | 70c | 359.18$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.55 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Lukas Neumayer | 79c | 274.6$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.79 | 322 | 40.7%131 W · 191 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Lukas Neumayer | 69c | 242.06$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.04 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Lukas Neumayer | 69c | 206.98$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.81 | 992 | 49.4%490 W · 502 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…3850backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 10c | 155.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 856 | 24.4%209 W · 647 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 30c | 148.69$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.92 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Lukas Neumayer | 69c | 142.86$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.29 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 31c | 136.13$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79d0…4dffbacked Alejandro Moro Canas | 11c | 133.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 312 | 20.5%64 W · 248 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…4e0ebacked Lukas Neumayer | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 160 | 55%88 W · 72 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1e…f21ebacked Lukas Neumayer | 69c | 118$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.58 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Lukas Neumayer | 70c | 113.66$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.21 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Lukas Neumayer | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Lukas Neumayer | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 527 | 50.3%265 W · 262 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Lukas Neumayer | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 689 | 51.1%352 W · 337 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 11c | 97.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 30c | 85.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Lukas Neumayer | 71c | 72.81$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 220 | 35.9%79 W · 141 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Alejandro Moro Canas | 31c | 61.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb4…9cb8backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 26c | 58.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d75…26fbbacked Lukas Neumayer | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 163 | 58.9%96 W · 67 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…9a00backed Lukas Neumayer | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 201 | 58.7%118 W · 83 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ded…68a3backed Lukas Neumayer | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 885 | 60.2%533 W · 352 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 31c | 48.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 516 | 44.8%231 W · 285 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Lukas Neumayer | 72c | 41.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 752 | 62%466 W · 286 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Lukas Neumayer | 75c | 40.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Lukas Neumayer | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 599 | 54.9%329 W · 270 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Lukas Neumayer | 68c | 38.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc0…7faabacked Lukas Neumayer | 69c | 36.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ded…9025backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 30c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 248 | 37.5%93 W · 155 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…68eebacked Alejandro Moro Canas | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Lukas Neumayer | 69c | 28.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9603…de5ebacked Lukas Neumayer | 76c | 16.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 63 | 87.3%55 W · 8 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 74cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Lukas Neumayerthis page
- Set Handicap: Neumayer (-1.5) vs Canas (+1.5)Neumayer won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.