Serie A · resolved market
Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-11-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbf8451804f7e40e54cf5880b2804400476751653cdb4c41e15259fcb57ae3f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,985
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,577
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,985 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 76c | 3,681$2,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.88 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 21c | 3,369$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.83 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed No | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 22c | 997.82$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.37 | 136 | 39.7%54 W · 82 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed No | 73c | 833.96$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.17 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 6c | 636.01$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 242 | 38.4%93 W · 149 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fc…d802backed Yes | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 23cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes | 28c | 499.82$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.95 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x628e…a488backed No | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 29c | 400$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…d107backed No | 73c | 321.75$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed No | 74c | 312.26$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.3 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 26c | 256.7$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.74 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…915dbacked Yes | 29c | 234.34$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.96 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 71c | 199.98$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.99 | 147 | 42.9%63 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 24c | 195.11$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.83 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 72c | 194$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.34 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 25c | 141$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Yes | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 121.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.79 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec4…f4a4backed No | 71c | 110$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20cb…d211backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1182…b6bbbacked No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 28c | 83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked No | 73c | 82.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x320a…4453backed Yes | 17c | 82.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed No | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7529…5cd7backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0981…eac2backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4da…ae65backed Yes | 29c | 58.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae91…0f69backed No | 73c | 47.95$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked Yes | 27c | 44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda2…4375backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x881a…8d6dbacked No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…2649backed No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -7.6wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…743ebacked No | 72c | 20.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d3…432abacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 72c | 19.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-11-22?this page
- Will SSC Napoli vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?No won
- Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-11-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.