Serie A · resolved market
Will SSC Napoli vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd347a778bb34777173fcd4ce6e499cd2ba16f96531def4705a7bb1e14718892c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,764
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,704
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,764 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 7c | 16,344$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.41 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 68c | 2,180$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.37 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5635…6953backed Yes | 32c | 846.88$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 30c | 775.36$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.61 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 70c | 738$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.4 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 18c | 733.07$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.03 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 16c | 456.46$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.94 | 136 | 39.7%54 W · 82 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 5c | 456.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 242 | 38.4%93 W · 149 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd020…06bcbacked Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed Yes | 33c | 276.52$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 78c | 250$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 200 | 33%66 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 8c | 155.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -7.6wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 68c | 139.3$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.58 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes | 8c | 139.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 267 | 44.6%119 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 152 | 53.9%82 W · 70 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7529…5cd7backed Yes | 29c | 74.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed Yes | 19c | 62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4850…6442backed Yes | 26c | 61.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4da…ae65backed Yes | 31c | 54.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d55…1e94backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked No | 69c | 49.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Yes | 32c | 40.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 298 | 62.4%186 W · 112 L | +34.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…df55backed No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec89…3286backed No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 69c | 19.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SSC Napoli vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?this page
- Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-11-22?No won
- Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-11-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.