Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Ruud (-1.5) vs Khachanov (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8d29bbf2ba058a42ab0af0bf4e6c70a6b4db6a63b4b88e74b46102c65141202
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Khachanovof Ruud, Khachanov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,719
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,778
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,719 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Khachanov | 49c | 8,220$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,220.34 | 416 | 45.4%189 W · 227 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Ruud | 51c | 6,985$3,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,562.11 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Khachanov | 44c | 4,703$2,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,631.3 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43eb…cf57backed Ruud | 56c | 3,173$1,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,776.82 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf93d…fc9bbacked Khachanov | 48c | 1,929$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.19 | 223 | 52%116 W · 107 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…8e52backed Ruud | 55c | 1,092$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Khachanov | 45c | 1,042$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.17 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…60d5backed Ruud | 55c | 1,020$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.99 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Ruud | 54c | 777.97$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Khachanov | 45c | 761.15$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.64 | 423 | 41.4%175 W · 248 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Khachanov | 15c | 595.17$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505 | 579 | 39.7%230 W · 349 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Ruud | 57c | 527.25$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab4d…3f0bbacked Ruud | 55c | 510.95$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.02 | 173 | 52%90 W · 83 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…afb0backed Ruud | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc60b…d9f7backed Ruud | 53c | 499.98$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.99 | 354 | 39.8%141 W · 213 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Khachanov | 46c | 497.62$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.29 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Ruud | 54c | 457.08$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.16 | 357 | 55.5%198 W · 159 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x024f…1c51backed Ruud | 56c | 441.16$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.05 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -7.7wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe28a…9317backed Ruud | 55c | 412.46$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Ruud | 52c | 232$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.64 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Khachanov | 45c | 218.39$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.12 | 846 | 40%338 W · 508 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1424…4f78backed Ruud | 53c | 184.89$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.84 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Ruud | 55c | 182$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 427 | 43.8%187 W · 240 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1646…2f81backed Ruud | 56c | 150$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Khachanov | 45c | 140$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.6 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…fd02backed Ruud | 55c | 136.36$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 389 | 51.9%202 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Ruud | 51c | 120$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 364 | 35.2%128 W · 236 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…049abacked Khachanov | 45c | 117.93$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.86 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Ruud | 52c | 116$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.32 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Ruud | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 509 | 52.1%265 W · 244 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Ruud | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…8011backed Khachanov | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…90d4backed Khachanov | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20cb…d211backed Ruud | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 103 | 58.3%60 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Ruud | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Khachanov | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbf…70a1backed Khachanov | 47c | 97.87$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.87 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2127…37f2backed Ruud | 55c | 97.23$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.48 | 240 | 55%132 W · 108 L | -15.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Ruud | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Ruud | 53c | 75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…c407backed Khachanov | 46c | 74.01$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.94 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Ruud | 68c | 72.53$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 583 | 59.2%345 W · 238 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Ruud | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…2c42backed Ruud | 55c | 48.53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Khachanov | 45c | 43.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…ecdbbacked Khachanov | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 489 | 35.8%175 W · 314 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba90…a450backed Khachanov | 47c | 40.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…827cbacked Ruud | 55c | 39.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x975e…f875backed Ruud | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Khachanov | 43c | 35.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Ruud | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a1…5a4fbacked Khachanov | 46c | 33.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7268…78abbacked Khachanov | 46c | 30.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…7d50backed Ruud | 54c | 29.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Ruud | 54c | 29.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 227 | 55.1%125 W · 102 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a9…0c9abacked Ruud | 54c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 124 | 64.5%80 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae63…9dcdbacked Ruud | 53c | 26.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe56a…2ba5backed Khachanov | 45c | 26.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Khachanov | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Ruud (-1.5) vs Khachanov (+1.5)this page
- Casper Ruud vs. Karen Khachanov: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Karen KhachanovCasper Ruud won
- Ruud vs. Khachanov: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Ruud vs. Khachanov: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Ruud vs. Khachanov: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Ruud vs. Khachanov: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Ruud vs KhachanovRuud won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.