Tennis · resolved market
Ruud vs. Khachanov: Match O/U 21.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff247df83b40b47411f70fd895f27f1b203f3caa3ffc8cb6c90a3188fd8fdd5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,085
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,396
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,085 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Over | 58c | 8,405$4,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,546.51 | 307 | 40.7%125 W · 182 L | -23.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 42c | 7,029$2,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,952.29 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Over | 58c | 1,733$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.2 | 572 | 49.5%283 W · 289 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 41c | 1,108$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.52 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 43c | 814$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.02 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 42c | 597.54$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.97 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…ecdbbacked Over | 55c | 209.7$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.7 | 489 | 35.8%175 W · 314 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Under | 49c | 203.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 43c | 191$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.13 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Under | 44c | 155.75$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.53 | 846 | 40%338 W · 508 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…c18cbacked Over | 78c | 148.34$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Over | 69c | 144.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.71 | 678 | 38.3%260 W · 418 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…c865backed Under | 46c | 91.3$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Under | 40c | 87.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Over | 52c | 54.07$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…c407backed Under | 47c | 52.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 39c | 50.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.92 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed Under | 46c | 49.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Under | 40c | 40.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 46c | 39.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked Under | 46c | 37.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 185 | 51.9%96 W · 89 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc0…3c91backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 52c | 33.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Under | 46c | 28.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 50c | 20.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Over | 80c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 265 | 55.8%148 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Over | 58c | 17.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 236 | 53.4%126 W · 110 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ruud vs. Khachanov: Match O/U 21.5this page
- Casper Ruud vs. Karen Khachanov: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Karen KhachanovCasper Ruud won
- Ruud vs. Khachanov: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Ruud vs. Khachanov: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Ruud vs. Khachanov: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Ruud vs KhachanovRuud won
- Set Handicap: Ruud (-1.5) vs Khachanov (+1.5)Khachanov won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.