Euroleague · resolved market
CB Murcia vs. Barcelona
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc389eefd159ed09955f4298d6d843e87977758fddbc8f3b67c40b19f74d25c1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Barcelonaof CB Murcia, Barcelona
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,343
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,225
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,343 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Barcelona | 63c | 11,036$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,035.78 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed CB Murcia | 17c | 10,916$1,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,893.96 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed CB Murcia | 20c | 2,897$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.02 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b0…072ebacked CB Murcia | 8c | 2,584$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed CB Murcia | 37c | 2,297$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked CB Murcia | 32c | 2,025$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.08 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked CB Murcia | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.99 | 244 | 30.3%74 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…ba8bbacked Barcelona | 75c | 1,963$1,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed CB Murcia | 40c | 1,584$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.57 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed CB Murcia | 35c | 1,556$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.71 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked CB Murcia | 37c | 1,216$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed CB Murcia | 32c | 1,060$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked CB Murcia | 36c | 1,040$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.22 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed CB Murcia | 25c | 986.37$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.61 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed CB Murcia | 14c | 780.12$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.12 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Barcelona | 66c | 744.99$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.3 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked CB Murcia | 34c | 735.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed CB Murcia | 33c | 697$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.59 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Barcelona | 80c | 663.31$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.31 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Barcelona | 63c | 437.36$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.82 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed CB Murcia | 35c | 400$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed CB Murcia | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked CB Murcia | 37c | 308$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked Barcelona | 65c | 307.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.82 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked CB Murcia | 29c | 232$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.4 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked CB Murcia | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed CB Murcia | 35c | 187.4$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.59 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked CB Murcia | 34c | 184$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed CB Murcia | 36c | 177.92$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked CB Murcia | 12c | 139.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28ff…d56cbacked CB Murcia | 37c | 137.09$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Barcelona | 65c | 120.42$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.15 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed CB Murcia | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked CB Murcia | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.61 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked CB Murcia | 38c | 99.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed CB Murcia | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x884a…2f2abacked CB Murcia | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +160.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed CB Murcia | 36c | 77$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Barcelona | 64c | 73.98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.63 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…a40bbacked CB Murcia | 32c | 55.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c25…c31fbacked CB Murcia | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked CB Murcia | 34c | 51.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +75%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Barcelona | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked CB Murcia | 36c | 49.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…5d6ebacked CB Murcia | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed CB Murcia | 34c | 40.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07df…d3bfbacked CB Murcia | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked Barcelona | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -43%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Barcelona | 56c | 37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Barcelona | 65c | 33.97$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed CB Murcia | 37c | 32.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed CB Murcia | 36c | 31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +67%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e65…d1d3backed Barcelona | 63c | 29.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.