MLB · resolved market
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3628a6546d3c0ab3ac68a33423509e114fd070a7255b49acc7e75e3f31ac617
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Houston Astrosof Milwaukee Brewers, Houston Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $259,754
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $254,188
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $259,754 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 263 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Milwaukee Brewers | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Houston Astros | 50c | 20,045$9,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,061.59 | 983 | 49.8%490 W · 493 L | -18.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Houston Astros | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,799.91 | 771 | 53.8%415 W · 356 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Milwaukee Brewers | 36c | 14,570$5,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,195.94 | 970 | 44.9%436 W · 534 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 14,423$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 241 | 46.1%111 W · 130 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 14,068$7,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,315.5 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 13,836$6,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,917.84 | 277 | 53.1%147 W · 130 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…8697backed Milwaukee Brewers | 29c | 13,557$3,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,916.36 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Houston Astros | 41c | 13,223$5,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,801.65 | 262 | 57.3%150 W · 112 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Houston Astros | 49c | 12,350$6,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,298.5 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Milwaukee Brewers | 43c | 12,317$5,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,267.73 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 540 | 51.1%276 W · 264 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Houston Astros | 48c | 7,348$3,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,820.96 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 0c | 5,712$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 4,700$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc0…847dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Houston Astros | 49c | 3,673$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,873.47 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Houston Astros | 50c | 3,616$1,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,821.56 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 43c | 3,448$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.93 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed Houston Astros | 41c | 3,306$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950.42 | 158 | 59.5%94 W · 64 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Houston Astros | 48c | 3,192$1,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,659.83 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Houston Astros | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.96 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Milwaukee Brewers | 32c | 2,942$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.16 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 2,828$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.78 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Houston Astros | 66c | 2,445$1,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.74 | 2,149 | 50.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Houston Astros | 48c | 2,231$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.12 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Houston Astros | 48c | 2,190$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.92 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 1,843$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.99 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Houston Astros | 47c | 1,663$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.84 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…2ff4backed Houston Astros | 40c | 1,653$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.73 | 129 | 60.5%78 W · 51 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…3aaebacked Houston Astros | 41c | 1,653$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.21 | 129 | 59.7%77 W · 52 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec1f…dcfebacked Houston Astros | 48c | 1,600$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.96 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Milwaukee Brewers | 32c | 1,565$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.64 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Houston Astros | 50c | 1,558$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.35 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 14c | 1,538$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.33 | 228 | 31.6%72 W · 156 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd585…9c06backed Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa252…dbf4backed Houston Astros | 70c | 1,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Houston Astros | 62c | 1,429$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.21 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 1,408$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.35 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…0841backed Houston Astros | 49c | 1,408$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.16 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Houston Astros | 57c | 1,374$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.17 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…1a84backed Houston Astros | 48c | 1,326$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.5 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Houston Astros | 75c | 1,284$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.77 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 1,203$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.36 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 1,113$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.86 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Houston Astros | 49c | 1,101$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.49 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 39c | 1,099$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.84 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Houston Astros | 53c | 1,090$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.32 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…4e0ebacked Houston Astros | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 174 | 60.9%106 W · 68 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Houston Astros | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Milwaukee Brewers | 32c | 947.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.96 | 1,737 | 49.1%852 W · 885 L | +7.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa13b…60c0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Milwaukee Brewers | 27c | 865.18$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.01 | 620 | 43.1%267 W · 353 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Houston Astros | 49c | 844$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.44 | 712 | 53.4%380 W · 332 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 815.95$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.74 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…f324backed Houston Astros | 41c | 774.8$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.13 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4c…fc89backed Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 750$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 298 | 43.6%130 W · 168 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 700$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Houston Astros | 48c | 619.99$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.91 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Houston Astros | 48c | 600.39$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.39 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Houston Astros | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 34c | 572.93$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.48 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 6c | 500$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 947 | 34.4%326 W · 621 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 268 | 60.4%162 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 499.92$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.96 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Houston Astros | 60c | 497.25$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.45 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…5616backed Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 460.54$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.48 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Milwaukee Brewers | 22c | 439.53$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.07 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 37c | 439.43$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.54 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9783…dccabacked Houston Astros | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab5…fdc0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 18c | 399.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 292 | 41.4%121 W · 171 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 399.34$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.09 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 387.49$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.92 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 385$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 1,141 | 46.3%528 W · 613 L | +36.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…dea8backed Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked Houston Astros | 49c | 367.35$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.35 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…a84abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 350$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Houston Astros | 49c | 336.73$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.73 | 516 | 46.9%242 W · 274 L | -21.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 329$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.08 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12f2…0193backed Milwaukee Brewers | 25c | 320$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 317.31$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 741 | 43.5%322 W · 419 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…e5b3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 6c | 311.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 307.21$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.68 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Houston Astros | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed Houston Astros | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 529 | 47.4%251 W · 278 L | -24.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…184cbacked Houston Astros | 49c | 302$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.02 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 22c | 296.52$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.1 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 10c | 291.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 289.13$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.95 | 231 | 66.7%154 W · 77 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Houston Astros | 50c | 266.99$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.66 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Houston Astros | 51c | 256$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.44 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9121…bd6cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Houston Astros | 41c | 249.62$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.22 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9b…a181backed Houston Astros | 49c | 244.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.9 | 205 | 43.9%90 W · 115 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…a92abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 240$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 237 | 54%128 W · 109 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Houston Astros | 49c | 236.73$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.73 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 224.63$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.62 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astrosthis page
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 10.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 11.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 12.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 6.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-3.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-4.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)Houston Astros won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston AstrosYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.