NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1e7273e077633a330d59286ed0fae23f3210c63371fca3d0918592e73380899
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Spurs, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $116,918
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,379
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,918 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Cavaliers | 51c | 25,000$12,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,288.22 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +10.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdec1…28bdbacked Spurs | 49c | 10,120$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0352…3292backed Cavaliers | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Cavaliers | 51c | 8,025$4,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,947.25 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Spurs | 49c | 8,000$3,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,880 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Cavaliers | 51c | 7,322$3,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,576.3 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…8f58backed Spurs | 49c | 7,161$3,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,508.96 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Spurs | 49c | 6,782$3,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,289.96 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Spurs | 50c | 6,666$3,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,333 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Spurs | 48c | 6,292$3,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,020.23 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Cavaliers | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc43…7c45backed Cavaliers | 52c | 4,481$2,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,142.91 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Spurs | 49c | 3,039$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Spurs | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Spurs | 59c | 2,325$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.98 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 2,207$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.47 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Cavaliers | 48c | 2,155$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.6 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Cavaliers | 52c | 2,139$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.58 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Spurs | 52c | 2,107$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3273…5a11backed Spurs | 49c | 2,043$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs | 49c | 2,026$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.74 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Spurs | 48c | 2,020$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.16 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Spurs | 49c | 1,829$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.21 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Spurs | 9c | 1,666$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.94 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Spurs | 51c | 1,507$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.74 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Cavaliers | 52c | 1,255$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.4 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Cavaliers | 55c | 1,095$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.86 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Cavaliers | 52c | 1,058$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.69 | 157 | 56.7%89 W · 68 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Spurs | 49c | 1,002$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.98 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Spurs | 49c | 836.99$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.77 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x426f…e76bbacked Spurs | 47c | 816.85$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.9 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers | 52c | 781.36$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.15 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Spurs | 49c | 700$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Spurs | 51c | 680.89$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a09…3c83backed Spurs | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4926…4d05backed Spurs | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…837dbacked Spurs | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 146 | 39.7%58 W · 88 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Spurs | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Spurs | 51c | 568.51$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.94 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Spurs | 49c | 561$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.89 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Spurs | 49c | 535.04$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.17 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Spurs | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 220 | 53.6%118 W · 102 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Cavaliers | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 408.16$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Spurs | 47c | 403.83$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.8 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Spurs | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Cavaliers | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 361 | 43.5%157 W · 204 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab15…d4a4backed Spurs | 47c | 321.28$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Spurs | 49c | 315.41$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Spurs | 49c | 311.88$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.44 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Cavaliers | 51c | 294.97$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.54 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6909…36b5backed Cavaliers | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Spurs | 49c | 280$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.2 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff8…aa3abacked Cavaliers | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb75…ad3cbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Spurs | 52c | 240.38$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Spurs | 49c | 240$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Spurs | 48c | 221.24$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.92 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb903…c5eebacked Spurs | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Spurs | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 50c | 194$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.47 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Cavaliers | 49c | 174$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.42 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Cavaliers | 52c | 173$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.04 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f2…7f2ebacked Spurs | 48c | 132$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Spurs | 50c | 120.44$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.62 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Spurs | 49c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 102.04$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Spurs | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 111 | 58.6%65 W · 46 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Spurs | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Spurs | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Spurs | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 628 | 48.7%306 W · 322 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e57…21cbbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Spurs | 49c | 99.53$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3d…3f06backed Spurs | 46c | 97.87$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Spurs | 49c | 90$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Spurs | 49c | 90$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 86.75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.28 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Spurs | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 309 | 45.3%140 W · 169 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Spurs | 49c | 77.22$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Spurs | 49c | 72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 317 | 54.6%173 W · 144 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Spurs | 49c | 72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 342 | 54.1%185 W · 157 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ca…0a0dbacked Spurs | 51c | 64.7$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…ce91backed Spurs | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -9.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc212…18b9backed Spurs | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Spurs | 50c | 60.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.14 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Spurs | 49c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 288 | 52.8%152 W · 136 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7802…d5b4backed Spurs | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 107 | 58.9%63 W · 44 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Spurs | 49c | 54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 340 | 53.8%183 W · 157 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Spurs | 49c | 54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 331 | 47.4%157 W · 174 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Spurs | 49c | 54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Spurs | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Cavaliers | 46c | 51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…1be5backed Spurs | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Spurs | 49c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 204 | 56.4%115 W · 89 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…99debacked Spurs | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90aa…5f6cbacked Spurs | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Spurs | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Cavaliers | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 195 | 48.7%95 W · 100 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c35…2965backed Spurs | 45c | 36.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Spurs | 49c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 237 | 53.6%127 W · 110 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Cavaliers vs. SpursCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Cavaliers vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Spurs: O/U 240.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Spurs: O/U 241.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Spurs: O/U 242.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Spurs: O/U 243.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Spurs: O/U 244.5Under won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.