NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e752ef33f16aa5961db349b26ed70efaa4e81ec0e4907803bd6a39e3fce9d0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Spurs, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,422
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,015
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,422 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers | 57c | 7,650$4,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,310.63 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Spurs | 43c | 6,000$2,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,559 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Cavaliers | 49c | 4,437$2,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,247.3 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers | 58c | 3,808$2,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587.14 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Spurs | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Spurs | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Cavaliers | 58c | 1,939$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.64 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Cavaliers | 58c | 1,900$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Spurs | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Spurs | 40c | 1,267$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.66 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Cavaliers | 65c | 1,029$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.87 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Cavaliers | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Cavaliers | 44c | 938.56$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.59 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Spurs | 35c | 906.4$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.24 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Spurs | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Cavaliers | 57c | 784.52$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.34 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Spurs | 51c | 511.96$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.65 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Cavaliers | 49c | 499$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.49 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Cavaliers | 57c | 314$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.02 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Cavaliers | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Cavaliers | 59c | 279.43$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.23 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb338…606ebacked Spurs | 41c | 256$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.32 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Cavaliers | 58c | 224.14$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.14 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Cavaliers | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Cavaliers | 59c | 194.54$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.76 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed Spurs | 41c | 178.05$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Spurs | 41c | 121.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.81 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Cavaliers | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa64b…1e4bbacked Spurs | 40c | 95.26$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.31 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaadd…637dbacked Cavaliers | 67c | 91.43$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.47 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Spurs | 41c | 90$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Cavaliers | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Spurs | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 334 | 42.8%143 W · 191 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83fc…13ccbacked Spurs | 41c | 74.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers | 74c | 71$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ca…0a0dbacked Cavaliers | 54c | 61.11$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…a045backed Cavaliers | 58c | 49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Cavaliers | 63c | 47.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Cavaliers | 56c | 47.92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Cavaliers | 58c | 44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Spurs | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 183 | 47.5%87 W · 96 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Cavaliers | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Cavaliers | 57c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Spurs | 43c | 33.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6471backed Spurs | 38c | 31.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Cavaliers | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…a8edbacked Spurs | 42c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Cavaliers | 55c | 24.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd6…6202backed Cavaliers | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5545…08ddbacked Cavaliers | 59c | 23.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Cavaliers | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed Cavaliers | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Cavaliers | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Cavaliers vs. SpursCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Cavaliers vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Spurs: O/U 240.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Spurs: O/U 241.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Spurs: O/U 242.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Spurs: O/U 243.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Spurs: O/U 244.5Under won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.