NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Spurs: O/U 241.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdba513092753a3c90c376c5f8094a5c268f442adb760fac2cf48527f2e268aeb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,132
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,433
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,132 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0352…3292backed Over | 52c | 19,600$10,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,106.96 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Over | 50c | 8,340$4,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,184.52 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 47c | 4,666$2,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,472.76 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…85e7backed Under | 50c | 4,200$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.28per pick | 49cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…b736backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x306f…3393backed Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 48c | 2,918$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,517.14 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 2,007$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.62 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Over | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 1,889$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.3 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Under | 48c | 1,752$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.83 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 1,567$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.78 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 51c | 1,020$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Under | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 157 | 56.7%89 W · 68 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…5c2fbacked Over | 52c | 838.46$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 53c | 533.12$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.64 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 47c | 279.06$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.22 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 49c | 240$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.6 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 48c | 240$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.8 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 223$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.86 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 48c | 218.22$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.25 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 46c | 143.4$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.44 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 54c | 140.3$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.76 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Under | 45c | 138$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.9 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Over | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 45c | 125$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.75 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 49c | 108$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.62 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Under | 45c | 102$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 47c | 92.95$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.13 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 48c | 90$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 48c | 90$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Under | 49c | 73.11$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.29 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 48c | 72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 317 | 54.6%173 W · 144 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 48c | 72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 342 | 54.1%185 W · 157 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ca…0a0dbacked Under | 50c | 66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 331 | 47.4%157 W · 174 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Under | 45c | 58$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 48c | 54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 340 | 53.8%183 W · 157 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 48c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 204 | 56.4%115 W · 89 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 288 | 52.8%152 W · 136 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec1…dd29backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 225 | 56.9%128 W · 97 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…9c8fbacked Over | 55c | 38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.7wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…7ca5backed Over | 55c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 48c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 237 | 53.6%127 W · 110 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 48c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 273 | 50.9%139 W · 134 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 48c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 220 | 48.6%107 W · 113 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 48c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 326 | 49.7%162 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 48c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 312 | 50.3%157 W · 155 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 48c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Under | 48c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 48c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 252 | 50.8%128 W · 124 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 48c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 366 | 51.4%188 W · 178 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 48c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 318 | 52.2%166 W · 152 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 48c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 273 | 53.8%147 W · 126 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 48c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 315 | 51.1%161 W · 154 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 48c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Under | 49c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…88cfbacked Over | 55c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…1ed1backed Over | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea0e…a5dabacked Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed Over | 55c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 53c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22e5…81acbacked Over | 55c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -32%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Under | 47c | 25.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 222 | 47.3%105 W · 117 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Under | 48c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9431…6270backed Over | 55c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6e…148bbacked Over | 55c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Under | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Under | 49c | 20.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 302 | 44%133 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Spurs: O/U 241.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Cavaliers vs. SpursCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Cavaliers vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Spurs: O/U 240.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Spurs: O/U 242.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Spurs: O/U 243.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Spurs: O/U 244.5Under won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.