TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Spurs: O/U 240.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,311
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$15,436

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,311 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa6ee…697bbacked Over53c5,708$3,003 inLost-$3,002.6620352.2%106 W · 97 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c4,312$2,036 inWon+$2,276.059,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Over52c2,631$1,368 inLost-$1,368.2374748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Under49c2,418$1,185 inWon+$1,23315844.9%71 W · 87 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1033…d851backed Over53c1,887$1,000 inLost-$1,00027443.1%118 W · 156 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c1,000$480 inWon+$5204,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over52c399.99$208 inLost-$207.992,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Under48c312.5$150 inWon+$162.515543.2%67 W · 88 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under48c150$72 inWon+$781,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under42c108.62$46 inWon+$6380744.1%356 W · 451 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Over58c100$58 inLost-$5870153.5%375 W · 326 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bbb…1594backed Under43c94$40 inWon+$53.586045%27 W · 33 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4970…21f6backed Under43c89$38 inWon+$50.734953.1%26 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under48c55.04$26 inWon+$28.622,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under48c49$24 inWon+$25.488,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa521…4599backed Under43c48$21 inWon+$27.367557.3%43 W · 32 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xea0e…a5dabacked Under48c41.67$20 inWon+$21.672857.1%16 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over56c32.72$18 inLost-$18.222,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9a2…218cbacked Over57c29$17 inLost-$16.531936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-30.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under44c24.11$11 inWon+$13.4993849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x870f…08ebbacked Over57c23$13 inLost-$13.113171%22 W · 9 L+6.0wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3be0…e4e5backed Over57c23$13 inLost-$13.112751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0068…d7b0backed Over57c22$13 inLost-$12.543234.4%11 W · 21 L-6.0wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-34.4%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x5956…e127backed Over57c21$12 inLost-$11.974353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6468…e03dbacked Over57c21$12 inLost-$11.973053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.