Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Nordsjælland vs. Brøndby IF: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12d19772a1f5bf44d5778f101864e80bb0a29faec77d7a79b278a4ed83e3c593
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,704
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,024
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,704 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 58c | 1,602$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.54 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 45c | 905.14$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.4 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 40c | 785.28$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed Under | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Under | 59c | 557.96$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.2 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 40c | 499.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 47c | 355.65$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.55 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 59c | 332.05$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.77 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Over | 41c | 300$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.9 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Over | 57c | 264.18$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.6 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +106.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 69c | 227.29$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.46 | 135 | 73.3%99 W · 36 L | +24.7wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 45c | 223.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.3 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 39c | 184.45$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.51 | 136 | 26.5%36 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…0332backed Under | 57c | 183.15$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Under | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 64c | 140.63$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.63 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +12.7wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 52c | 129.83$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.51 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 55c | 127.27$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b43…0f61backed Under | 30c | 127.18$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc10b…56ddbacked Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…df76backed Under | 40c | 99.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d52…f4dfbacked Over | 56c | 93.39$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Over | 54c | 91$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.86 | 188 | 49.5%93 W · 95 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Under | 46c | 91$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.86 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…a035backed Under | 67c | 89.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf000…78c9backed Under | 59c | 87.04$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Over | 43c | 86.08$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.35 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Over | 43c | 86.08$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.35 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 43c | 86.08$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.35 | 260 | 60.8%158 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 43c | 86.08$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.35 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 43c | 86.08$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.35 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Over | 43c | 86.08$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.35 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Over | 43c | 86.08$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.35 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 43c | 86.08$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.35 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 43c | 86.08$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.35 | 111 | 55.9%62 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 59c | 83.14$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 210 | 36.7%77 W · 133 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 42c | 80.72$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…f7c2backed Over | 47c | 63.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.97 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed Over | 40c | 61.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.01 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1f…acafbacked Over | 43c | 58.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…d358backed Under | 70c | 49.11$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.43 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…68ecbacked Under | 56c | 47.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.63 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 62c | 40.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 39c | 36.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 32c | 36.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f2…2cb0backed Under | 59c | 33.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 59c | 33.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 38c | 28.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 40c | 28.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked Under | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Over | 58c | 27.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 122 | 61.5%75 W · 47 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 43c | 27.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 39c | 26.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…40e2backed Over | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 57c | 21.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 67c | 15.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 67c | 15.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Nordsjælland vs. Brøndby IF: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Nordsjælland vs. Brøndby IF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Nordsjælland vs. Brøndby IF: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Nordsjælland vs. Brøndby IF: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Nordsjælland vs. Brøndby IF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Nordsjælland (-1.5)Brøndby IF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.