Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Nordsjælland vs. Brøndby IF: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7416f042ef277813d80ce64f6f578aa93973d2f89670bf9b02e4c3cc842bc70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,414
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,425
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,414 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 74c | 3,747$2,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.71 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Over | 23c | 2,168$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 25c | 1,055$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.21 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 75c | 640.29$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.78 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Under | 69c | 607$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.17 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 28c | 537.5$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.5 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Over | 41c | 529.34$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.2 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 40c | 499.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f21…d207backed Under | 75c | 450.08$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed26…6282backed Under | 79c | 269.38$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 66cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed Under | 12c | 250$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe56…593abacked Under | 9c | 228.75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 26c | 155.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.44 | 260 | 60.8%158 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b43…0f61backed Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Over | 34c | 94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 194 | 41.8%81 W · 113 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Under | 66c | 94$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 24c | 92.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…20bfbacked Under | 61c | 81.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.47 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 38c | 78.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Over | 26c | 77.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 26c | 77.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 26c | 77.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 26c | 77.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 26c | 77.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 111 | 55.9%62 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Under | 66c | 75.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Under | 72c | 71$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under | 62c | 69.9$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.34 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 59c | 67.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.58 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4947…d93abacked Over | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 38c | 62.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 61c | 62.53$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.61 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 28c | 62.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…4961backed Over | 40c | 56.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 74c | 54.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 37c | 51.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Over | 39c | 51.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 43c | 47.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Over | 28c | 41.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 77 | 75.3%58 W · 19 L | +12.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 26c | 40.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 191 | 56.5%108 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fa…013abacked Under | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Over | 59c | 33.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6769…f8b9backed Under | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked Under | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Under | 60c | 29.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 64c | 24.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Under | 74c | 21.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 136 | 26.5%36 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 61c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe777…c734backed Under | 60c | 18.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdecb…e058backed Under | 63c | 16.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Nordsjælland vs. Brøndby IF: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Nordsjælland vs. Brøndby IF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Nordsjælland vs. Brøndby IF: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Nordsjælland vs. Brøndby IF: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Nordsjælland vs. Brøndby IF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Nordsjælland (-1.5)Brøndby IF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.