TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 2 - 2 FC Bayern München?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,051
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,133

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,051 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3b54…db07backed Yes9c997.18$95 inLost-$94.572240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+25.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes9c499.98$45 inLost-$453231.3%10 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd023…9d2abacked Yes11c426.7$47 inLost-$47.33714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick28cpaid-80.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes8c401.52$34 inLost-$33.91,02135.3%360 W · 661 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked Yes9c273.12$25 inLost-$24.582548%12 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes9c225.84$20 inLost-$19.623417.6%6 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick18cpaid-41.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Yes9c187.97$17 inLost-$16.915335.8%19 W · 34 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf31…3255backed Yes11c172.54$19 inLost-$18.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8887…4bdebacked Yes11c172.11$19 inLost-$18.931855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+24.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee08…791fbacked Yes9c147.06$13 inLost-$13.2430%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Yes10c141.9$14 inLost-$14.19425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-54.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd530…5417backed Yes10c101.7$10 inLost-$10.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.